Login Register
01.11.2026 04:00
AAMI Park
Referee: Jonathan Barreiro, Australia
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Central Coast Mariners
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
10'
Harrison Shillington
Melbourne Victory
🟥
13'
Harrison Shillington
Melbourne Victory
🔄
14'
K. Jelacic ↔ P. Ziereis
Melbourne Victory
🔄
62'
L. D'Arrigo ↔ D. Genreau
Melbourne Victory
⚽
63'
O. Lavale · Assist: A. Auglah
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
64'
A. Bolton ↔ L. Becvinovski
Central Coast Mariners
⚽
69'
J. Valadon · Assist: C. Nduka
Melbourne Victory
🟨
70'
Chris Donnell
Central Coast Mariners
🟨
72'
Philipp Ziereis
Melbourne Victory
🟨
72'
Oliver Lavale
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
78'
H. Eames ↔ J. Mantell
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
78'
B. Brandtman ↔ A. De Lima
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
82'
G. May ↔ M. Grimaldi
Melbourne Victory
🔄
82'
Clarismario ↔ M. Ghossaini
Melbourne Victory
🔄
87'
O. Lavale ↔ P. Ortiz
Central Coast Mariners

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 60.2%
Draw 20.7%
Central Coast Mariners Win 19.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.64
Central Coast Mariners1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
D L
2 GF / 3 GA
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
L D L L L
5 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.6
2
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2 matches
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 5 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Central Coast Mariners
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
2 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 13
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.6
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.5
9 Total Shots 10
5.5 Corners 2
55.5% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 5 times, Central Coast Mariners won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Central Coast Mariners 4-4-2
Missing players: Melbourne Victory 1, Central Coast Mariners 2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 5, draws 6, Central Coast Mariners wins 4

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
D W W W
2 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
3 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W W D L
5 4 2 0 2 8:5 3 6
W W L L
6 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
L D W D
7 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D D W
8 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
D D L W
9 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
D D D L
10 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L L D D
11 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
L D L D
12 3 0 1 2 3:8 -5 1
D L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)