URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN
05.06.2026 22:00
Referee: Hernan Heras, Uruguay
Wanderers
Match Timeline
Danubio
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
68'
A. Garcia ↔ R. Rivero
Wanderers
🔄
68'
J. Urretaviscaya ↔ J. Luna
Wanderers
🔄
68'
J. Millan ↔ M. Peralta
Danubio
🔄
69'
E. Cabrera ↔ E. Femia
Danubio
🟨
76'
Rodrigo Rivero
Wanderers
🔄
78'
J. Zeballos ↔ L. Cosentino
Wanderers
🔄
78'
L. Zazpe ↔ M. Acosta
Wanderers
🔄
78'
F. Labandeira ↔ E. Crucci
Wanderers
🔄
81'
N. Azambuja ↔ M. Ferreira
Danubio
🔄
81'
T. Cavanagh ↔ S. Fernandez
Danubio
🔄
85'
S. Rodriguez ↔ A. Montana
Danubio
🟨
88'
Emiliano Velázquez
Danubio

Wanderers vs Danubio Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wanderers Win 58.5%
Draw 15.5%
Danubio Win 26%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wanderers1.34
Danubio1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wanderers Wanderers
WWDLW
22 GF / 24 GA
Danubio Danubio
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wanderers Wanderers 18 matches
Danubio Danubio 17 matches
Wanderers Statistic Danubio
7 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 7
22 Goals For 19
24 Goals Against 26
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
10 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Wanderers Analysis

Wanderers are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 16:21 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Luna (4 goals), F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Alberti (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Danubio Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Danubio have collected 18 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), M. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 7 times, Danubio won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Wanderers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Wanderers 4-3-3 / Danubio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Wanderers wins 7, draws 5, Danubio wins 3

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 10 3 32:19 13 49
W D W D W
2 25 14 5 6 37:21 16 47
L D W W W
3 26 13 7 6 40:26 14 46
L D W D D
4 25 13 5 7 42:29 13 44
W W W L W
5 26 12 6 8 34:31 3 42
W L D W W
6 26 13 2 11 37:33 4 41
W W L L W
7 26 10 9 7 35:24 11 39
D W W W D
8 26 10 6 10 29:32 -3 36
L L L W D
9 26 9 7 10 35:31 4 34
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 27:28 -1 32
D D D D L
11 26 8 6 12 29:35 -6 30
W W L D D
12 26 8 6 12 25:34 -9 30
D W D W L
13 26 6 10 10 21:29 -8 28
L D L L W
14 26 7 5 14 18:40 -22 26
D L W W L
15 26 4 12 10 22:32 -10 24
L D D L D
16 26 5 4 17 19:38 -19 19
W L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)