Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
28.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Wanderers
Danubio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wanderers
18 matches
Danubio
17 matches
| Wanderers | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 19 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Danubio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Wanderers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wanderers expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Danubio in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Wanderers sit 10 with 20 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 16:21 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Luna (4 goals), F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Alberti (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 15 matches, Danubio have collected 18 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), M. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 8 times, Danubio won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Wanderers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Boston River
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Wanderers
Home
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 11 |
Danubio
Away
|
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|