Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
76.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Wanderers
Danubio
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wanderers
18 matches
Danubio
17 matches
| Wanderers | Statistic | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 19 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Wanderers are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 16:21 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Luna (4 goals), F. Labandeira (3 goals), J. Alberti (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 15 matches, Danubio have collected 18 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on E. Cabrera (4 goals), S. Fernandez (4 goals), M. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from M. Jourdan (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wanderers won 7 times, Danubio won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Wanderers's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Lineups
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Boston River
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Albion FC
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Juventud
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
CA River Plate
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Danubio
Club Nacional
Danubio
Central Espanol
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Cerro
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
Danubio
Boston River
Danubio
Penarol
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
Danubio
Wanderers
Danubio
Progreso
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Wanderers
Home
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Danubio
Away
|
18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 18 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|