Login Register
24.09.2026 18:45
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania
Portugal
Match Timeline
Wales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
Joao Felix · Assist: N. Mendes
Portugal
VAR
59'
Cristiano Ronaldo
Portugal
🔄
63'
D. Brooks ↔ D. James
Wales
🔄
67'
R. Neves ↔ J. Palhinha
Portugal
🔄
67'
C. Ronaldo ↔ G. Ramos
Portugal
🟨
71'
Ben Cabango
Wales
🔄
71'
B. Cabango ↔ C. Mepham
Wales
🔄
77'
J. James ↔ S. Thomas
Wales
🔄
77'
L. Koumas ↔ K. Moore
Wales
🔄
79'
N. Mendes ↔ N. Tavares
Portugal
🔄
90'
J. Cancelo ↔ D. Dalot
Portugal
🔄
90'
B. Fernandes ↔ J. Neves
Portugal

Portugal vs Wales Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Portugal Win 58.7%
Draw 4.7%
Wales Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portugal1.47
Wales0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portugal Portugal
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Wales Wales
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1
0.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
1
3.89
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portugal Portugal 9 matches
Wales Wales 3 matches
Portugal Statistic Wales
5 Wins 0
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
14 Goals For 3
5 Goals Against 4
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 3
4 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 0
3.89 Shots On Goal 5
11.78 Total Shots 17
4.56 Corners 7.33
60.2% Ball Possession 63.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Portugal won 1 times, Wales won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Portugal's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Portugal 4-4-2 / Wales 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Portugal wins 1, draws 0, Wales wins 0

Standings

League A - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:4 5 12
W W W W
2 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
W L W L
3
Wales Away
4 1 0 3 2:5 -3 3
L W L L
4 4 1 0 3 6:8 -2 3
L L L W
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off