Login Register
NETHERLANDS › EERSTE DIVISIE
16.10.2026 18:00
Seacon - De Koel

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VVV Venlo Win 59.6%
Draw 6.5%
Jong AZ Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
VVV Venlo2
Jong AZ2.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
WWDLW
42 GF / 34 GA
Jong AZ Jong AZ
WLDWL
43 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
2.69
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
12
5.7
Shots on Goal
6.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VVV Venlo VVV Venlo 18 matches
Jong AZ Jong AZ 16 matches
VVV Venlo Statistic Jong AZ
10 Wins 9
1 Draws 2
7 Losses 5
42 Goals For 43
34 Goals Against 24
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.69
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 12
11 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
5.7 Shots On Goal 6.7
15 Total Shots 15.6
5.5 Corners 4.9
49.5% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Jong AZ. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. VVV Venlo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 18 points compared to Jong AZ in 10 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

VVV Venlo Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 18 points from 9 games, VVV Venlo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Dean Zandbergen (4 goals), E. Zuliani (3 goals), L. Schmidt (2 goals), with creative support from Lars de Blok (6 assists), A. Schalk (2 assists), Ismail Oulad M'Hand (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Jong AZ Analysis

So far, Jong AZ have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Kovacs (4 goals), J. Oerip (3 goals), Ayoub Oufkir (3 goals), with creative support from J. Oerip (4 assists), T. de Wit (4 assists), J. Zwart (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, VVV Venlo won 2 times, Jong AZ won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from VVV Venlo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: VVV Venlo 4-2-3-1 / Jong AZ 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VVV Venlo wins 2, draws 1, Jong AZ wins 10

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 31:12 19 25
W D W L W
2 10 7 1 2 22:7 15 22
W W L W W
3 10 7 0 3 26:14 12 21
W W L W W
4 10 6 1 3 22:18 4 19
W D W L L
5 10 5 2 3 20:19 1 17
W D W W L
6 10 4 4 2 10:8 2 16
D L W D W
7 10 5 1 4 13:20 -7 16
L L W L L
8 10 5 0 5 22:17 5 15
W L W L W
9 10 3 5 2 19:15 4 14
L D L W W
10 10 4 2 4 15:15 0 14
L D L W L
11 10 4 1 5 22:18 4 13
L W D L W
12 10 3 4 3 15:17 -2 13
D L D L W
13 10 4 0 6 15:15 0 12
W W L W L
14 10 3 2 5 14:18 -4 11
W D L W L
15 10 3 2 5 15:22 -7 11
L D L W W
16 10 3 2 5 13:23 -10 11
W D W L W
17 10 2 3 5 16:19 -3 9
L D L L W
18 10 2 2 6 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
19 10 2 2 6 13:27 -14 8
L D W L L
20 10 2 1 7 16:23 -7 7
L L W W D
Promotion - Eredivisie
Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion)