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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
VPS
FT
3 - 2
Ilves
Lemonsoft Stadion
Referee: J. Kontinen
VPS
Match Timeline
Ilves
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Faris Krkalić
Ilves
⚽
4'
V. Ronnberg
VPS
🔄
24'
R. Riski ↔ J. Kilo
Ilves
⚽
27'
J. Muzinga
VPS
🟨
31'
Luka Smyth
VPS
⚽
45'
S. Lindholm · Assist: J. Turfkruier
VPS
🔄
46'
O. Tiitinen ↔ O. Multala
Ilves
🟨
49'
Vilmer Ronnberg
VPS
🟨
50'
Oliver Pettersson
Ilves
⚽
50'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
54'
Simon Lindholm
VPS
⚽
61'
O. Multala
Ilves
🔄
63'
L. Smyth ↔ J. Ali
VPS
🔄
63'
S. Lindholm ↔ A. Raisanen
VPS
🔄
79'
J. Muzinga ↔ K. Kouassivi-Benissan
VPS
🔄
83'
K. Wallius ↔ G. Bamba
Ilves
🔄
83'
M. Stjopin ↔ S. Baranov
Ilves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
57.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
VPS Win 62.9%
Draw 17.7%
Ilves Win 19.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
VPS0.86
Ilves1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
VPS VPS
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Ilves Ilves
WLDWL
17 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
2.43
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
0.67
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VPS VPS 7 matches
Ilves Ilves 7 matches
VPS Statistic Ilves
1 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
4 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 9
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
3 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
0.67 Shots On Goal 3.67
3.33 Total Shots 11
3 Corners 4
27% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 6 times, Ilves won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from VPS's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: VPS 3-4-3 / Ilves 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: VPS wins 6, draws 2, Ilves wins 7

Lineups

VPS
Formation
Ilves
M. Jalloh
M. Jalloh
E. Okereke
E. Okereke
M. Niemi
M. Niemi
V. Ronnberg
⚽
V. Ronnberg
Y. Daoussi
Y. Daoussi
L. Mane
L. Mane
P. Lima
P. Lima
J. Turfkruier
🎯
J. Turfkruier
S. Lindholm
⚽ ↓
S. Lindholm
J. Muzinga
⚽ ↓
J. Muzinga
L. Smyth
↓
L. Smyth
F. Krkalic
F. Krkalic
O. Pettersson
O. Pettersson
V. Kumpu
V. Kumpu
K. Wallius
↓
K. Wallius
M. Rale
M. Rale
O. Tiitinen
↓
O. Tiitinen
A. Popovitch
A. Popovitch
M. Stjopin
↓
M. Stjopin
J. Kanga
⚽
J. Kanga
R. Riski
↓
R. Riski
T. Hytonen
T. Hytonen
VPS 3-4-3
Starting XI
41
M. Jalloh
G
6
E. Okereke
D
23
M. Niemi
D
5
V. Ronnberg
⚽ 4' 🟨 49'
D
24
Y. Daoussi
D
2
L. Mane
D
8
P. Lima
M
7
J. Turfkruier
🎯 45'
M
14
S. Lindholm
⚽ 45' ↓ 63' 🟨 54'
M
11
J. Muzinga
⚽ 27' ↓ 79'
F
15
L. Smyth
↓ 63' 🟨 31'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Vayrynen
G
26
R. Forsbacka
M
10
J. Ali
↑ 63'
F
33
A. Kuek
30
J. Vahtera
M
34
A. Raisanen
↑ 63'
M
27
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↑ 79'
M
18
A. Arrakoski
D
35
O. Keturi
M
Ilves 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
F. Krkalic
🟨 4'
G
4
O. Pettersson
24
V. Kumpu
D
13
K. Wallius
↓ 83'
M
3
M. Rale
D
20
O. Tiitinen
↓ 46'
M
14
A. Popovitch
M
8
M. Stjopin
↓ 83'
M
30
J. Kanga
⚽ 50'
F
10
R. Riski
↓ 24'
F
9
T. Hytonen
F
Substitutes
31
R. Leislahti
G
16
T. Miettunen
D
6
Y. Raap
D
22
O. Multala
⚽ 61' ↑ 46'
M
19
G. Bamba
↑ 83'
D
28
J. Kilo
↑ 24'
M
23
A. Raymond
D
25
S. Suvanne
D
17
S. Baranov
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: VPS
18.07.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
1
2
L
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vei
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
VPS
Umeå FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Ilves
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
16.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
H2H: VPS vs Ilves
24.04.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
2
L
14.07.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
L
02.05.25
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
0
W
15.02.25
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
0
L
04.10.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
L
21.07.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
2
L
07.06.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Ilves
VPS
3
1
L
28.07.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
0
2
W
26.05.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
0
D
21.01.23
H2H
Ilves
VPS
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
Ilves
VPS
2
3
W
Last matches: VPS
10.07.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
4
0
W
23.06.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
5
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
08.03.26
Fri
VPS
Umeå FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: VPS
24.04.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
2
L
02.05.25
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
0
W
04.10.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
L
07.06.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
1
D
26.05.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
0
D
Last matches: Ilves
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
0
5
L
10.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
L
H2H away: Ilves
24.04.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
3
2
L
07.02.26
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
2
W
02.05.25
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
0
L
04.10.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
W
07.06.24
H2H
VPS
Ilves
1
1
D
26.05.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
VPS
Ilves
0
0
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS
16 9 6 1 29:15 14 33
W W W W D
2
Inter Turku
16 8 7 1 23:12 11 31
D W D D D
3
VPS Home
16 7 6 3 23:13 10 27
L W W D W
4
AC Oulu
16 8 2 6 20:20 0 26
L L D L W
5
HJK Helsinki
16 7 4 5 27:20 7 25
W L L W D
6
Gnistan
16 7 4 5 25:20 5 25
W W L D D
7
Lahti
16 6 4 6 20:15 5 22
W W W D D
8
Turku PS
16 6 4 6 20:19 1 22
L W L W D
9
Ilves Away
16 5 4 7 28:30 -2 19
W L D L W
10
SJK
16 3 5 8 18:25 -7 14
L L W D D
11
FF Jaro
16 2 6 8 15:32 -17 12
D W L D L
12
Mariehamn
16 0 4 12 8:35 -27 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)