Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
72.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VPS
11 matches
HJK Helsinki
12 matches
| VPS | Statistic | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 18 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 1.29 | Shots On Goal | 2.38 |
| 3.43 | Total Shots | 6.88 |
| 2.57 | Corners | 2.5 |
| 23.9% | Ball Possession | 28.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward HJK Helsinki. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VPS expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and HJK Helsinki in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HJK Helsinki having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
VPS sit 6 with 10 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luka Smyth (2 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), P. Lima (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 12 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Pukki (3 goals), M. Borchers (2 goals), A. Cicale (1 goals), with creative support from D. Ezeh (2 assists), L. Lingman (2 assists), P. Mentu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VPS won 3 times, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:25 from VPS's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Lineups
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Lahti
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Mariehamn
VPS
Ilves
VPS
AC Oulu
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Inter Turku
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Turku PS
VPS
Umeå FC
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
VPS
Gnistan
VPS
Ilves
VPS
FF Jaro
VPS
Haka
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
VPS
Umeå FC
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Djurgardens IF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
HJK Helsinki
Away
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
?
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
VPS
Home
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 13 |
?
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 4 |
?
|