BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Volna Stadium
Volna
Match Timeline
BATE II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
D. Matyash · Assist: V. Kibuk
Volna
29'
V. Kisel · Assist: P. Kolosovskiy
BATE II
🟨
40'
Y. Shumskiy
BATE II
🔄
60'
R. Aliyev ↔ A. Apanasevich
BATE II
🔄
60'
N. Mirskiy ↔ E. Nikolaev
BATE II
🔄
61'
E. Nikoporenok ↔ A. Vlasov
Volna
🟨
67'
Y. Kuzmenok
BATE II
🔄
70'
J. Oreshkevich ↔ A. Radzhabov
Volna
🔄
70'
Y. Shumskiy ↔ I. Kuimov
BATE II
🔄
78'
V. Kibuk ↔ K. Kovalevich
Volna
🔄
78'
D. Matyash ↔ A. Samuylik
Volna
🔄
86'
P. Kolosovskiy ↔ A. Shreyn
BATE II
🔄
86'
K. Apanasevich ↔ M. Tolkach
BATE II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Volna Win 88.4%
Draw 11.7%
BATE II Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Volna1.28
BATE II0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Volna Volna
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
BATE II BATE II
WLDWL
1 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Volna Volna 5 matches
BATE II BATE II 2 matches
Volna Statistic BATE II
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
4 Goals For 1
6 Goals Against 4
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward BATE II. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward BATE II having the stronger overall control.

Volna Analysis

Volna sit 17 with 0 points after 2 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats with a 0:2 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

BATE II Analysis

BATE II approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 1 points from 2 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats with a 1:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Kolosovskiy (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Kuzmenok (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Volna won 4 times, BATE II won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Volna's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Volna wins 4, draws 1, BATE II wins 0

Lineups

Volna
Formation
BATE II
S. Letsko
S. Letsko
J. Oreshkevich
J. Oreshkevich
D. Matyash
D. Matyash
E. Nikoporenok
E. Nikoporenok
V. Urbanovich
V. Urbanovich
K. Kovsh
K. Kovsh
A. Susha
A. Susha
K. Polkhovskiy
K. Polkhovskiy
V. Kibuk
🎯
V. Kibuk
M. Grechikha
M. Grechikha
D. Nizhnik
D. Nizhnik
M. Klyakin
M. Klyakin
Y. Kuzmenok
Y. Kuzmenok
V. Kisel
V. Kisel
M. Gavrilov
M. Gavrilov
K. Apanasevich
K. Apanasevich
N. Mirskiy
N. Mirskiy
E. Shakhnovich
E. Shakhnovich
Y. Shumskiy
Y. Shumskiy
P. Kolosovskiy
🎯
P. Kolosovskiy
R. Aliyev
R. Aliyev
N. Shcherbakov
N. Shcherbakov
Volna 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
S. Letsko
97
J. Oreshkevich
↓ 70'
91
D. Matyash
⚽ 19' ↓ 78'
77
E. Nikoporenok
↓ 61'
33
V. Urbanovich
25
K. Kovsh
21
A. Susha
17
K. Polkhovskiy
15
V. Kibuk
🎯 19' ↓ 78'
10
M. Grechikha
9
D. Nizhnik
Substitutes
1
A. Asonov
2
D. Prokopchuk
4
A. Kuradovets
6
A. Belous
7
A. Radzhabov
↑ 70'
8
A. Vlasov
↑ 61'
14
A. Stroychuk
19
K. Kovalevich
↑ 78'
22
A. Samuylik
↑ 78'
55
D. Lesnyak
BATE II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
M. Klyakin
77
Y. Kuzmenok
🟨 67'
66
V. Kisel
⚽ 29'
22
M. Gavrilov
18
K. Apanasevich
↓ 86'
17
N. Mirskiy
↓ 60'
14
E. Shakhnovich
11
Y. Shumskiy
↓ 70' 🟨 40'
8
P. Kolosovskiy
🎯 29' ↓ 86'
7
R. Aliyev
↓ 60'
4
N. Shcherbakov
Substitutes
35
V. Zhurba
3
E. Chuevskiy
5
A. Apanasevich
↑ 60'
6
A. Shreyn
↑ 86'
9
M. Tolkach
↑ 86'
10
I. Kuimov
↑ 70'
27
D. Karshakevich
45
E. Nikolaev
↑ 60'
47
E. Machnach
68
E. Starikov
Last matches: Volna
12.07.26
1.
Volna
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
4
L
05.07.26
1.
Volna
Smorgon
3
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Volna
Bumprom
2
1
W
19.06.26
1.
Volna
Minsk II
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Volna
Osipovichy
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Volna
Lida
4
2
W
01.06.26
1.
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
08.05.26
1.
Volna
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Volna
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Volna
Neman
1
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
Last matches: BATE II
24.07.26
1.
BATE II
Osipovichy
1
3
L
11.07.26
1.
BATE II
Lida
1
4
L
04.07.26
1.
BATE II
Niva
0
5
L
28.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
3
4
L
21.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Slutsk
0
2
L
14.06.26
1.
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
3
2
W
06.06.26
1.
BATE II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
01.06.26
1.
BATE II
Slonim
2
5
L
22.05.26
1.
BATE II
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
1
D
17.05.26
1.
BATE II
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
08.05.26
1.
BATE II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
01.05.26
1.
BATE II
Gomel II
4
3
W
25.04.26
1.
BATE II
Orsha
1
2
L
10.04.26
1.
BATE II
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
BATE II
Bumprom
0
3
L
H2H: Volna vs BATE II
18.04.26
H2H
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
W
17.05.25
H2H
BATE II
Volna
0
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
BATE II
Volna
1
3
W
20.07.24
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
W
Last matches: Volna
12.07.26
1.
Volna
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
4
L
27.06.26
1.
Volna
Bumprom
2
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Volna
Osipovichy
2
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Volna
Niva
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Volna
FC Slutsk
3
2
W
02.05.26
1.
Volna
Ostrovets FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
1.
Volna
Slonim
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Volna
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
1
L
25.02.26
Fri
Volna
Baranovichi
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Volna
FC Slutsk
2
0
W
H2H at home: Volna
18.04.26
H2H
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
W
20.07.24
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
W
Last matches: BATE II
24.07.26
1.
BATE II
Osipovichy
1
3
L
04.07.26
1.
BATE II
Niva
0
5
L
21.06.26
1.
BATE II
FC Slutsk
0
2
L
06.06.26
1.
BATE II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
22.05.26
1.
BATE II
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
1
D
17.05.26
1.
BATE II
Uni Minsk
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
BATE II
Gomel II
4
3
W
04.04.26
1.
BATE II
Bumprom
0
3
L
H2H away: BATE II
18.04.26
H2H
Volna
BATE II
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
L
20.07.24
H2H
Volna
BATE II
2
1
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9
Volna Home
15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation