Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.18
Gremio1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
8
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
11
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
20 matches
Gremio
23 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 28 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Gremio won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:25 from Vitoria's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-1-4-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 2, draws 4, Gremio wins 9
Last matches: Vitoria
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Gremio
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
H2H: Vitoria vs Gremio
19.03.26
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
21.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
03.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
12.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
4
0
L
12.11.17
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
1
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
23.06.16
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
2
W
01.11.14
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Vitoria
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
W
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
W
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
W
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 44 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Away
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation