Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.25
Gremio1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
8
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.61
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
17 matches
Gremio
19 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 22 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 11.33 |
| 3.94 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Gremio won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:25 from Vitoria's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-3-3 / Gremio 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 2, draws 4, Gremio wins 9
Last matches: Vitoria
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Gremio
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H: Vitoria vs Gremio
19.03.26
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
21.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
03.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
12.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
4
0
L
12.11.17
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
1
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
23.06.16
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
2
W
01.11.14
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Vitoria
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Gremio
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
W
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
W
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
W
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Away
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B