Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.14
Gremio1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
23 GF / 33 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
8
BTTS Yes
16
8
Over 2.5
13
4
Shots on Goal
3.64
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
23 matches
Gremio
25 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 8 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 23 | Goals For | 30 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.64 |
| 11.26 | Total Shots | 11.18 |
| 4.22 | Corners | 4.36 |
| 45% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Gremio won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:25 from Vitoria's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 2, draws 4, Gremio wins 9
Last matches: Vitoria
16.08.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
0
W
09.08.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
0
2
L
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
Last matches: Gremio
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
H2H: Vitoria vs Gremio
19.03.26
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
28.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
21.07.24
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
L
03.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
12.08.18
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
4
0
L
12.11.17
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
1
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
23.06.16
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
2
W
01.11.14
H2H
Gremio
Vitoria
1
0
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Vitoria
16.08.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
0
W
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
L
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
L
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
L
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
W
Last matches: Gremio
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
27.04.25
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
3
W
25.11.18
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
0
D
19.07.17
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
1
3
W
05.10.16
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
0
1
W
03.08.14
H2H
Vitoria
Gremio
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Vitoria
Home
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Gremio
Away
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B