Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.16
Bahia1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
35 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
8
BTTS Yes
16
7
Over 2.5
12
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.64
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
20 matches
Bahia
24 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 35 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.46 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 4.64 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 13.09 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 5.73 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 3 times, Bahia won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Vitoria's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-1-4-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 3, draws 6, Bahia wins 6
Last matches: Vitoria
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
H2H: Vitoria vs Bahia
11.03.26
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
07.03.26
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
L
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
0
0
D
11.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
07.04.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
21.03.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
05.03.23
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
Last matches: Vitoria
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
L
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
W
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
Last matches: Bahia
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
W
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
L
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
L
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34:16 | 18 | 44 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 27 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 26:30 | -4 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation