Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.27
Bahia1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
8
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
4.18
Shots on Goal
4.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
17 matches
Bahia
19 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 21 | Goals For | 27 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.42 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 4.95 |
| 11 | Total Shots | 13.58 |
| 3.94 | Corners | 5.74 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 55.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 3 times, Bahia won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Vitoria's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-3-3 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 3, draws 6, Bahia wins 6
Last matches: Vitoria
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
1
5
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
Last matches: Bahia
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
25.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
2
1
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
05.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H: Vitoria vs Bahia
11.03.26
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
07.03.26
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
L
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
L
01.02.25
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
0
0
D
11.08.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
07.04.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
21.03.24
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
2
1
L
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
05.03.23
H2H
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
Last matches: Vitoria
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
L
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
W
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
W
Last matches: Bahia
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
25.01.26
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
0
1
W
17.10.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
1
L
23.03.25
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
L
18.02.24
H2H
Vitoria
Bahia
3
2
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B