PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
02.01.2026 20:45
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: A. Narciso
Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Kaique
Nacional
🟨
36'
Daniel Júnior
Nacional
🔄
46'
Samu ↔ D. Sousa
Guimaraes
🔄
59'
N. Oliveira ↔ A. Ndoye
Guimaraes
🔄
60'
T. Arcanjo ↔ O. Camara
Guimaraes
🔄
60'
M. Baeza ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
60'
Daniel Junior ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🔄
66'
Leo Santos ↔ C. Goncalves
Nacional
🔄
67'
Maga ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
⚽
70'
N. Saviolo · Assist: T. Strata
Guimaraes
🔄
76'
Liziero ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
76'
Jose Gomes ↔ L. Vallier
Nacional
⚽
87'
R. Abascal · Assist: N. Saviolo
Guimaraes
🟨
90+6'
Tony Strata
Guimaraes
🟨
90+6'
Lenny Vallier
Nacional
🔄
90'
N. Saviolo ↔ F. Blanco
Guimaraes
⚽
90'
C. Labidi · Assist: L. Joao
Nacional

Vitória SC vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC1.16
Nacional1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória SC Vitória SC 16 matches
Nacional Nacional 15 matches
Vitória SC Statistic Nacional
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 7
16 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.8
13 Total Shots 11.53
4.5 Corners 4.13
49.1% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 7 times, Nacional won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Vitória SC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 7, draws 3, Nacional wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2