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--.--.---- --:--
Vitória SC
FT
2 - 1
Nacional
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: A. Narciso
Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Kaique
Nacional
🟨
36'
Daniel Júnior
Nacional
🔄
46'
Samu ↔ D. Sousa
Guimaraes
🔄
59'
N. Oliveira ↔ A. Ndoye
Guimaraes
🔄
60'
T. Arcanjo ↔ O. Camara
Guimaraes
🔄
60'
M. Baeza ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
60'
Daniel Junior ↔ Pablo Ruan
Nacional
🔄
66'
Leo Santos ↔ C. Goncalves
Nacional
🔄
67'
Maga ↔ T. Strata
Guimaraes
⚽
70'
N. Saviolo · Assist: T. Strata
Guimaraes
🔄
76'
Liziero ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🔄
76'
Jose Gomes ↔ L. Vallier
Nacional
⚽
87'
R. Abascal · Assist: N. Saviolo
Guimaraes
🟨
90+6'
Tony Strata
Guimaraes
🟨
90+6'
Lenny Vallier
Nacional
🔄
90'
N. Saviolo ↔ F. Blanco
Guimaraes
⚽
90'
C. Labidi · Assist: L. Joao
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC1.16
Nacional1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
3.56
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória SC Vitória SC 16 matches
Nacional Nacional 15 matches
Vitória SC Statistic Nacional
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 7
16 Goals For 17
21 Goals Against 21
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
5 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
3.56 Shots On Goal 3.8
13 Total Shots 11.53
4.5 Corners 4.13
49.1% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 6 times, Nacional won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Vitória SC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 6, draws 3, Nacional wins 6
Stats
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Nacional Nacional
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 3
20 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 2
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 9
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
390 Total passes 304
323 Passes accurate 227
0.87 expected_goals 1.50
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Guimaraes
Formation
Nacional
J. Castillo
J. Castillo
Maga
↓
Maga
M. Nobrega
M. Nobrega
R. Abascal
⚽
R. Abascal
J. I. Mendes
J. I. Mendes
Beni
Beni
G. Nogueira
G. Nogueira
T. Arcanjo
↓
T. Arcanjo
Samu
↓
Samu
N. Saviolo
⚽ 🎯 ↓
N. Saviolo
N. Oliveira
↓
N. Oliveira
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
J. Aurelio
J. Aurelio
Leo Santos
↓
Leo Santos
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Jose Gomes
↓
Jose Gomes
Matheus Dias
Matheus Dias
M. Baeza
↓
M. Baeza
Daniel Junior
↓
Daniel Junior
Liziero
↓
Liziero
Paulinho Boia
Paulinho Boia
J. Ramirez
J. Ramirez
Guimaraes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Castillo
G
2
Maga
↓ 67'
D
3
M. Nobrega
D
26
R. Abascal
⚽ 87'
D
13
J. I. Mendes
D
16
Beni
M
30
G. Nogueira
M
18
T. Arcanjo
↓ 60'
M
20
Samu
↓ 46'
M
48
N. Saviolo
⚽ 70' 🎯 87' ↓ 90'
M
7
N. Oliveira
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
27
Charles Silva
G
6
M. Mitrovic
M
17
O. Lebedenko
D
19
O. Camara
↑ 60'
F
22
F. Blanco
↑ 90'
F
23
D. Sousa
↑ 46'
M
28
Thiago Balieiro
D
66
T. Strata
🎯 70' ↑ 67' 🟨 90+6'
D
90
A. Ndoye
↑ 59'
F
Nacional 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
🟨 25'
G
2
J. Aurelio
D
34
Leo Santos
↓ 66'
D
38
Ze Vitor
D
5
Jose Gomes
↓ 76'
D
6
Matheus Dias
M
8
M. Baeza
↓ 60'
M
10
Daniel Junior
↓ 60' 🟨 36'
M
28
Liziero
↓ 76'
M
11
Paulinho Boia
M
9
J. Ramirez
F
Substitutes
37
Lucas Franca
G
15
C. Labidi
⚽ 90' ↑ 60'
M
18
A. Sousa
M
19
L. Joao
🎯 90' ↑ 76'
F
24
L. Vallier
↑ 76' 🟨 90+6'
D
30
Watts
M
33
C. Goncalves
↑ 66'
D
88
Deivison
M
99
Pablo Ruan
↑ 60'
F
Last matches: Vitória SC
14.08.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
2
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Chaves
2
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
5
L
25.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
5
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
2
3
L
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
H2H: Vitória SC vs Nacional
16.05.26
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
L
02.01.26
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
W
03.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
W
23.12.24
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
26.04.21
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
0
L
21.01.21
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
3
1
W
05.05.19
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
02.01.19
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
0
L
31.03.17
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
1
2
W
04.11.16
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
W
20.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
3
2
L
07.11.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
1
L
11.05.15
H2H
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
2
D
04.01.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
4
0
W
03.02.14
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
1
2
L
Last matches: Vitória SC
08.08.26
Pri
Guimaraes
Arouca
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Chaves
2
0
W
26.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Academica
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Penafiel
5
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Vitória SC
Felgueiras 1932
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Casa Pia
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Rio Ave
2
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Tondela
5
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Famalicao
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Alverca
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Estrela
2
1
W
30.01.26
Pri
Vitória SC
Moreirense
1
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Vitória SC
FC Porto
0
1
L
23.12.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Sporting CP
1
4
L
08.12.25
Pri
Vitória SC
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
28.11.25
Pri
Vitória SC
AVS
4
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Benfica
0
3
L
04.10.25
Pri
Vitória SC
Santa Clara
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Vitória SC
SC Braga
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vitória SC
02.01.26
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
W
23.12.24
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
21.01.21
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
3
1
W
05.05.19
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
04.11.16
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
W
07.11.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
1
L
04.01.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
4
0
W
03.02.14
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
1
2
L
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
02.01.26
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
L
23.12.24
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
21.01.21
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
3
1
L
05.05.19
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
2
D
04.11.16
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
2
1
L
07.11.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
0
1
W
04.01.15
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
4
0
L
03.02.14
H2H
Vitória SC
Nacional
1
2
W