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05.10.2026 17:00
Referee: A. Bodding
Moss
Match Timeline
Kongsvinger
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
V. Fors
Kongsvinger
⚽
24'
L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
🔄
53'
A. Chaminta ↔ R. Christiansen
Kongsvinger
⚽
56'
R. Christiansen
Kongsvinger
🟨
59'
F. Christensen
Kongsvinger
🟨
61'
L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
🔄
67'
M. Flores ↔ P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
🔄
68'
M. Gjerstrom ↔ E. Nielsen
Kongsvinger
🔄
81'
L. Overgaard ↔ M. Njie
Moss
🔄
87'
L. Langrekken ↔ D. Lysgard
Kongsvinger
🔄
87'
↔ L. Hovland
Kongsvinger
🔄
88'
J. Musbaudeen ↔ N. Alexandersson
Moss
🔄
88'
N. Semmen ↔ T. Usman
Moss
🔄
90+2'
P. Andersen ↔ E. Chidi
Moss

Moss vs Kongsvinger Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Moss Win 14.1%
Draw 4.6%
Kongsvinger Win 81.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moss1.66
Kongsvinger2.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moss Moss
W L W L D
9 GF / 11 GA
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
W D W D W
20 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
2.71
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
27
BTTS Yes
26
29
Over 2.5
25
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Moss Moss 35 matches
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 31 matches
Moss Statistic Kongsvinger
10 Wins 19
6 Draws 7
19 Losses 5
59 Goals For 84
76 Goals Against 50
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 2.71
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
27 BTTS Yes 26
34 Over 1.5 30
29 Over 2.5 25
19 Over 3.5 17
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Kongsvinger's more proactive style and Moss's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kongsvinger. Kongsvinger carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 50 points while Moss sit 11 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kongsvinger having the stronger overall control.

Moss Analysis

Moss sit 11 with 25 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, while the 38:52 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 50 points from 23 games, Kongsvinger bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 15 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 68:35, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Moss won 4 times, Kongsvinger won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:32 from Moss's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Moss wins 4, draws 1, Kongsvinger wins 8

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 21 2 6 84:48 36 65
W W L W D
2 29 19 6 4 79:34 45 63
W L W W W
3 29 18 5 6 83:47 36 59
L L W L W
4 29 18 4 7 68:35 33 58
W W W W D
5 29 13 7 9 57:46 11 46
D L L W W
6 29 13 4 12 43:41 2 43
W D L D L
7 29 12 5 12 73:69 4 41
W W W D L
8 29 10 8 11 48:57 -9 38
W D D D W
9 29 11 5 13 49:59 -10 38
L L W D L
10 29 10 6 13 50:62 -12 36
L W W W D
11 29 10 4 15 46:59 -13 34
W L W L L
12 29 8 6 15 48:63 -15 30
L W W D L
13 29 8 6 15 42:58 -16 30
D W L L D
14
Moss Home
29 8 5 16 41:62 -21 29
L L L D W
15 29 7 5 17 41:65 -24 26
L W L L W
16 29 6 2 21 31:78 -47 20
L L L L D
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