Vitória SC vs Moreirense Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
55.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vitória SC
Moreirense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitória SC
12 matches
Moreirense
10 matches
| Vitória SC | Statistic | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 20 | Goals For | 12 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.4 |
| 19.67 | Total Shots | 6.6 |
| 6.17 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 35.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Moreirense. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Vitória SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 4 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo (1 goals), Gonçalo Nogueira (1 goals), with creative support from Miguel Nogueira (1 assists), Alan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Moreirense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 4 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on João Veloso (1 goals), Kiko (1 goals), N. John (1 goals), with creative support from João Veloso (1 assists), A. Duville-Parsemain (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 7 times, Moreirense won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Vitória SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitória SC
Home
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 |
Moreirense
Away
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|