PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
06.09.2026 17:00
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: Gustavo Correia, Portugal
Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Casa Pia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
29'
A. Gomes ↔ I. Mandic
Casa Pia
🔄
46'
K. Prieto ↔ JP
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
A. Jatta ↔ H. Araujo
Casa Pia
🔄
57'
B. Pauwels ↔ M. Salah
Casa Pia
🟨
62'
Gustavo Silva
Vitória SC
🟨
62'
Ivan Mandić
Casa Pia
🔄
63'
A. Ndoye ↔ A. Jakupovic
Vitória SC
🔄
70'
Kaly ↔ J. Goulart
Casa Pia
🔄
71'
A. Sidibe ↔ O. Rivas Viondi
Vitória SC
🔄
71'
M. Nogueira ↔ O. Camara
Vitória SC
🟨
72'
JP
Casa Pia
🟨
86'
Thiago Balieiro
Vitória SC
🔄
87'
Samu ↔ G. Nogueira
Vitória SC
🔄
87'
L. Doucet ↔ P. Ouotro
Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Casa Pia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.8%
1.52
BTTS Yes
58.2%
2.05
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
2.06
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.33
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 77.8%
Draw 5.7%
Casa Pia Win 16.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC2.22
Casa Pia0.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WWDLW
19 GF / 8 GA
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WLDWL
4 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.57
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.71
4
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
3
3.25
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória SC Vitória SC 10 matches
Casa Pia Casa Pia 7 matches
Vitória SC Statistic Casa Pia
6 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
3 Losses 6
19 Goals For 4
8 Goals Against 19
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 2.71
4 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 5
3.25 Shots On Goal 2
16.75 Total Shots 9.75
3 Corners 4
49% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 2 times, Casa Pia won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Vitória SC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 2, draws 4, Casa Pia wins 3

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 5 2 3 0 11:9 2 9
W D W D D
7 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
8 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
11 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
12 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
13 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
14 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
15 5 1 1 3 4:12 -8 4
L L W L D
16 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2