PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
08.08.2026 17:00
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Referee: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
Vitória SC
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
I. Barbero · Assist: N. Djouahra
Arouca
🟨
64'
Hyun-ju Lee
Arouca
🔄
65'
M. Flores ↔ O. Lebedenko
Arouca
🔄
65'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🟨
69'
Oumar Camara
Vitória SC
🔄
69'
Maga ↔ T. Strata
Vitória SC
🔄
70'
O. Camara ↔ T. Arcanjo
Vitória SC
🔄
70'
E. van Ee ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
🔄
70'
H. Lee ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
73'
J. Sanchez ↔ D. Monteiro
Arouca
🔄
78'
G. Nogueira ↔ M. Mitrovic
Vitória SC
🔄
78'
A. Ndoye ↔ M. Nogueira
Vitória SC
🟨
90+6'
Matija Mitrović
Vitória SC
🟨
90+4'
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Arouca
🟨
90+3'
Diogo Monteiro
Arouca
🟨
90+2'
Orest Lebedenko
Arouca
🟨
90'
Diogo Monteiro
Arouca
🟥
90+3'
Diogo Monteiro
Arouca
🔄
90+6'
Gustavo ↔ L. Doucet
Vitória SC

Vitória SC vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vitória SC Win 70.7%
Draw 4.6%
Arouca Win 24.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória SC2
Arouca0.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória SC Vitória SC
WWDLW
16 GF / 3 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.67
Average Goals Scored
0.6
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória SC Vitória SC 6 matches
Arouca Arouca 5 matches
Vitória SC Statistic Arouca
5 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 2
16 Goals For 3
3 Goals Against 5
2.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.6
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 1
6 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitória SC won 5 times, Arouca won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Vitória SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Vitória SC 4-2-3-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitória SC wins 5, draws 6, Arouca wins 4

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 15:2 13 18
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 21:4 17 16
W W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:6 9 14
D W W W W
4 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
W W D W W
5 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
L D W L W
6 5 2 3 0 11:9 2 9
W D W D D
7 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W W L D L
8 4 2 1 1 6:5 1 7
L W W D
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
L L D W W
10 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L D W W
11 6 1 2 3 8:11 -3 5
W L D L D
12 6 0 4 2 5:7 -2 4
D D D L L
13 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L W L
14 6 1 1 4 7:11 -4 4
L L L L W
15 5 1 1 3 4:12 -8 4
L L W L D
16 5 1 0 4 2:11 -9 3
L L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
D L L L D
18 6 0 1 5 1:15 -14 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2