JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
11.09.2026 10:00
Noevir Stadium
Vissel Kobe
Match Timeline
Kashima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Keisuke Tsukui
Kashima
🟨
25'
Rikuto Hirose
Kashima
VAR
51'
Gotoku Sakai
Vissel Kobe
56'
Yuya Osako
Vissel Kobe
🔄
65'
Keisuke Tsukui ↔ Yan Matheus
Kashima
🔄
65'
Homare Tokuda ↔ Aleksandar Čavrić
Kashima
🔄
65'
Rikuto Hirose ↔ Ryuta Koike
Kashima
🔄
72'
Katsuya Nagato ↔ Erik Nascimento de Lima
Vissel Kobe
🔄
72'
Yuya Osako ↔ Ren Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
73'
Aleksandar Čavrić · Assist: Yan Matheus
Kashima
77'
Tetsushi Yamakawa · Assist: Diego Jara Rodrigues
Vissel Kobe
🔄
79'
Matheus Bueno ↔ Gaku Shibasaki
Kashima
🔄
81'
Ryoya Ogawa ↔ Haruki Hayashi
Kashima
🟨
90+1'
Kento Misao
Kashima

Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.9%
1.53
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
1.33
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Vissel Kobe Win 44.8%
Draw 19.1%
Kashima Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vissel Kobe1.63
Kashima1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WWDLW
9 GF / 4 GA
Kashima Kashima
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2.17
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 6 matches
Kashima Kashima 6 matches
Vissel Kobe Statistic Kashima
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
9 Goals For 13
4 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.83
11.67 Total Shots 17.67
3.67 Corners 4.5
51.5% Ball Possession 62%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kashima. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vissel Kobe expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Kashima in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashima having the stronger overall control. Kashima look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 10 points from 5 games, Vissel Kobe bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 6:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Y. Osako (2 goals), K. Nagato (1 goals), I. Takahashi (1 goals), with creative support from Matheus Thuler (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Kashima Analysis

Kashima come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 12 points after 5 matches. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:10, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Léo Ceará (6 goals), A. Čavrić (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Suzuki (2 assists), R. Ogawa (1 assists), Y. Matsumura (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe won 6 times, Kashima won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:15 from Vissel Kobe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Vissel Kobe 4-3-3 / Kashima 4-4-2
H2H summary: Vissel Kobe wins 6, draws 3, Kashima wins 6

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:5 13 16
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
5 6 3 2 1 13:5 8 11
L W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W D W W D
7 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
9 6 3 1 2 5:5 0 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 12:9 3 9
W L W D D
11 6 2 3 1 11:8 3 9
D W D W D
12 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
W W W L L
13 6 1 3 2 8:11 -3 6
L D D L D
14 6 2 0 4 7:11 -4 6
L L W W L
15 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
16 6 1 1 4 9:10 -1 4
D L L L W
17 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D L L L
19 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
D L L D L
20 6 1 0 5 5:15 -10 3
W L L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League