ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
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Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Villa Dalmine Win 87.2%
Draw 6.4%
Defensores Unidos Win 6.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villa Dalmine1.2
Defensores Unidos0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
WLDWL
20 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
9
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villa Dalmine Villa Dalmine 24 matches
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 24 matches
Villa Dalmine Statistic Defensores Unidos
13 Wins 5
7 Draws 9
4 Losses 10
30 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 27
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
9 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
12 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Villa Dalmine's more proactive style and Defensores Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores Unidos having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Villa Dalmine arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to Defensores Unidos in 17 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Defensores Unidos. Villa Dalmine come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Villa Dalmine Analysis

Villa Dalmine approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 40 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a 26:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 23 points from 21 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats with a 18:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dalmine won 1 times, Defensores Unidos won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Villa Dalmine's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.6%)
H2H summary: Villa Dalmine wins 1, draws 0, Defensores Unidos wins 2
Last matches: Villa Dalmine
10.07.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Dock Sud
2
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
W
12.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Liniers
0
1
L
27.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Defensores Unidos
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Real Pilar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Ituzaingó
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Excursionistas
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Talleres Remedios
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Laferrere
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Brown DE Adrogue
4
1
W
28.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Flandria
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
Last matches: Defensores Unidos
10.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Arsenal Sarandi
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio
0
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Flandria
1
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Ituzaingó
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Dock Sud
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Liniers
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Real Pilar
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
UAI Urquiza
2
2
D
H2H: Villa Dalmine vs Defensores Unidos
27.05.26
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
2
1
L
01.02.12
H2H
Villa Dalmine
Defensores Unidos
3
0
W
11.08.11
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
1
0
L
Last matches: Villa Dalmine
10.07.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Dock Sud
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Sportivo Italiano
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Villa San Carlos
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Real Pilar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Excursionistas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Argentino de Merlo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Laferrere
2
2
D
28.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Argentino Quilmes
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Comunicaciones
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Villa Dalmine
Deportivo Merlo
0
1
L
H2H at home: Villa Dalmine
01.02.12
H2H
Villa Dalmine
Defensores Unidos
3
0
W
Last matches: Defensores Unidos
10.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Arsenal Sarandi
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
06.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio
0
3
L
23.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Dock Sud
0
2
L
20.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
29.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Liniers
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
UAI Urquiza
2
2
D
04.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino de Merlo
0
1
L
H2H away: Defensores Unidos
01.02.12
H2H
Villa Dalmine
Defensores Unidos
3
0
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 6 3 28:12 16 42
L L W D W
2 21 11 7 3 31:16 15 40
W W D W W
3 21 11 7 3 26:11 15 40
W W L W W
4 21 11 6 4 22:10 12 39
D W W D D
5 21 9 8 4 22:15 7 35
L W W D L
6 21 9 6 6 22:19 3 33
W D D L L
7 21 9 5 7 24:23 1 32
W D D D W
8 21 8 7 6 23:20 3 31
W L L D D
9 21 8 7 6 26:28 -2 31
D L L L D
10 21 7 8 6 22:19 3 29
D D D D L
11 21 8 4 9 23:26 -3 28
D D W W D
12 21 7 6 8 17:18 -1 27
W D W W D
13 21 7 6 8 22:27 -5 27
D W D W D
14 21 6 8 7 23:21 2 26
L L D W D
15 21 6 6 9 14:21 -7 24
L D D D L
16 21 5 8 8 21:21 0 23
L W D L D
17 21 5 8 8 18:22 -4 23
L D L L D
18 21 6 4 11 17:26 -9 22
D L L L W
19 21 3 12 6 12:16 -4 21
D L D D D
20 21 4 7 10 14:27 -13 19
D D W L D
21 21 3 8 10 20:28 -8 17
D W D D D
22 21 1 6 14 15:36 -21 9
D L L D L