Vila Nova vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
18 matches
Fortaleza EC
18 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 21 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12.78 | Total Shots | 14.11 |
| 4.39 | Corners | 5.44 |
| 52.7% | Ball Possession | 46.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Vila Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fortaleza EC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vila Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza EC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control.
Vila Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 31 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 25:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), Janderson (2 goals), with creative support from Janderson (4 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (4 assists), Ryan Lima (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
So far, Fortaleza EC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 28 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 20:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Miritello (3 goals), Vitinho (3 goals), Luiz Fernando (2 goals), with creative support from Maílton (1 assists), Emanuel Brítez (1 assists), Maurício Júnior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 1 times, Fortaleza EC won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Vila Nova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 |
Fortaleza EC
Away
|
29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 47 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 47 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:36 | -1 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|