Vila Nova vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.9%
|
1.94 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.39 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Vila Nova
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
24 matches
Ceara
24 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 35 | Goals For | 25 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.21 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5.04 | Corners | 5.58 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Vila Nova's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Vila Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 40 points compared to Ceara in 16 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Vila Nova approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 40 points after 23 outings. The return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 35:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (4 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Ceara approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 28 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 25:30 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Lucas Lima (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 3 times, Ceara won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:29 from Vila Nova's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.18 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Away
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|