ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: G. Haflidason Oddur
Vikingur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
Keflavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
K. Gunnarsson · Assist: O. Borgthorsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
16'
S. Thordarson · Assist: H. Gudjonsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
46'
B. Baxter · Assist: S. Ljubicic
Keflavik
🟨
54'
V. Andrason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
61'
D. Jonsson ↔ T. Ibrahimagic
Vikingur Reykjavik
67'
O. Borgthorsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🟨
69'
N. Heras
Keflavik
🔄
74'
K. Gunnarsson ↔ D. Atlason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
75'
G. Sigurdsson ↔ A. Thrandarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
75'
S. Thordarson ↔ A. Finnbogason
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
75'
M. Mudrazija ↔ F. Elvarsson
Keflavik
🔄
75'
D. Valsson ↔ E. Bjarnason
Keflavik
🔄
75'
S. Magnusson ↔ B. Gudlaugsson
Keflavik
82'
T. Ibrahimagic · Assist: A. Thrandarson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
83'
O. Borgthorsson ↔ E. Agnarsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🔄
87'
A. Conteh ↔ A. Adalbjorssnos
Keflavik
🔄
87'
S. Ljubicic ↔ H. Al Ghoul
Keflavik
90+1'
A. Finnbogason · Assist: E. Agnarsson
Vikingur Reykjavik
🟨
90+1'
A. Johannesson
Keflavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.3%
1.25
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.29
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.91
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Vikingur Reykjavik Win 73.3%
Draw 3.2%
Keflavik Win 23.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vikingur Reykjavik2.55
Keflavik1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
WWDLW
54 GF / 14 GA
Keflavik Keflavik
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.87
10
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
10
0.67
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 18 matches
Keflavik Keflavik 15 matches
Vikingur Reykjavik Statistic Keflavik
15 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 6
54 Goals For 24
14 Goals Against 28
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.87
10 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
0.67 Shots On Goal 0
3.33 Total Shots 0
1.33 Corners 0
12.7% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vikingur Reykjavik's more proactive style and Keflavik's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vikingur Reykjavik expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Keflavik in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Keflavik having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vikingur Reykjavik arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Keflavik in 6 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Vikingur Reykjavik come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Keflavik. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Vikingur Reykjavik Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 14 games, Vikingur Reykjavik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 48:9 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Keflavik Analysis

Keflavik are currently 6 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vikingur Reykjavik won 10 times, Keflavik won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:15 from Vikingur Reykjavik's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.8%)
Predicted formations: Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3 / Keflavik 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vikingur Reykjavik wins 10, draws 2, Keflavik wins 1
Last matches: Vikingur Reykjavik
21.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
1
W
18.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
07.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
1
0
W
02.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
1
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
5
0
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
W
31.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
5
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
1
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
5
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
0
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
0
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
4
0
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
2
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
2
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
1
1
D
14.08.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Brondby
0
4
L
07.08.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Brondby
3
0
W
Last matches: Keflavik
20.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
5
2
W
13.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
2
L
06.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
3
2
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
FH hafnarfjordur
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
H2H: Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
24.07.26
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
5
1
W
03.05.26
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
W
08.07.23
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
3
D
04.05.23
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
W
28.04.22
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
W
19.07.21
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
W
02.05.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
W
19.03.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
3
D
23.02.20
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
2
W
09.03.19
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
2
4
L
23.09.18
H2H
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
W
13.07.18
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
W
Last matches: Vikingur Reykjavik
21.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
1
0
W
02.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
5
0
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
0
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
4
0
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
2
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
1
1
D
07.08.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Brondby
3
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vllaznia Shkodër
4
2
W
17.07.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Malisheva
8
0
W
H2H at home: Vikingur Reykjavik
24.07.26
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
5
1
W
04.05.23
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
W
28.04.22
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
W
02.05.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
W
19.03.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
3
D
09.03.19
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
2
4
L
13.07.18
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
W
Last matches: Keflavik
13.07.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Breidablik
1
2
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
6
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Keflavik
IA Akranes
3
1
W
26.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KA Akureyri
2
1
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
Fram Reykjavik
1
3
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Keflavik
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
H2H away: Keflavik
24.07.26
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
5
1
L
04.05.23
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
L
28.04.22
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
4
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
L
19.03.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
3
D
09.03.19
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
2
4
W
13.07.18
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.88
Draw 6.79
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.20
Draw 3.17
Home 1.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.29
Over 3.25 1.61
Over 3.5 1.79
Over 3.75 2.00
Over 4.0 2.30
Over 4.25 2.58
Over 4.5 2.83
Over 5.5 4.97
Under 2.5 3.53
Under 3.25 2.32
Under 3.5 2.02
Under 3.75 1.83
Under 4.0 1.62
Under 4.25 1.50
Under 4.5 1.42
Under 5.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 5.50
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.57
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 3.40
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.73
Over 4.5 2.62
Over 5.5 4.33
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 4.5 1.44
Under 5.5 1.20
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.90
Draw 6.45
Home 1.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.99
Draw 3.08
Home 1.58
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.01
Draw 3.60
Home 1.47
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 1.75 1.04
Over 2.0 1.06
Over 2.25 1.16
Over 2.5 1.25
Over 2.75 1.31
Over 3.0 1.38
Over 3.25 1.57
Over 3.5 1.76
Over 3.75 1.93
Over 4.0 2.13
Over 4.25 2.39
Over 4.5 2.59
Over 4.75 3.07
Over 5.0 3.80
Over 5.25 4.12
Over 5.5 4.40
Over 6.0 7.20
Over 6.5 7.00
Over 7.5 10.00
Over 8.5 15.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 7.20
Under 1.75 6.75
Under 2.0 6.35
Under 2.25 4.26
Under 2.5 3.28
Under 2.75 3.04
Under 3.0 2.69
Under 3.25 2.24
Under 3.5 2.01
Under 3.75 1.83
Under 4.0 1.60
Under 4.25 1.50
Under 4.5 1.39
Under 4.75 1.30
Under 5.0 1.19
Under 5.25 1.17
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.0 1.03
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 7.50
Draw 5.50
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.10
Draw 3.10
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.24
Over 3.5 1.64
Over 4.5 2.40
Over 5.5 3.80
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 3.5 2.04
Under 4.5 1.46
Under 5.5 1.19

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 54:12 42 43
W L W W W
2 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
3 16 10 4 2 41:28 13 34
D W W D W
4 16 8 5 3 35:26 9 29
W D W W L
5 16 6 1 9 26:32 -6 19
L L L W D
6 16 5 4 7 25:33 -8 19
L W L D W
7 16 5 3 8 26:34 -8 18
W L L L L
8 16 4 4 8 26:34 -8 16
L D L W D
9 16 4 3 9 24:32 -8 15
D D W L L
10 16 4 3 9 29:41 -12 15
L L D W L
11 16 2 7 7 20:31 -11 13
D D W D D
12 16 3 3 10 17:42 -25 12
D W L D L