NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
16.05.2026 14:00
Lyse Arena
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes, Norway
Viking
Match Timeline
Start
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
O. Toure · Assist: J. Cornelius
Start
⚽
32'
S. Mvoue · Assist: E. Segberg
Start
🟨
38'
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Start
⚽
41'
G. Stensness · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
VAR
43'
Gianni Stensness
Viking
⚽
45'
T. Strannegard · Assist: E. Segberg
Start
⚽
46'
P. Christiansen · Assist: K. Askildsen
Viking
🟨
47'
Jacob Pryts
Start
🟨
52'
Gianni Stensness
Viking
⚽
53'
S. Kvia-Egeskog · Assist: H. Heggheim
Viking
⚽
60'
P. Christiansen · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
61'
J. Cornelius ↔ L. Gausdal
Start
🔄
61'
S. Mvoue ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
⚽
63'
K. Askildsen · Assist: Z. Tripic
Viking
🔄
65'
E. Reitan ↔ M. Soomets
Start
🔄
72'
E. Austbo ↔ N. Fuglestad
Viking
🟨
78'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking
🔄
82'
K. Askildsen ↔ A. Baertelsen
Viking
🔄
82'
H. Heggheim ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
82'
T. Moi ↔ O. Visted
Viking
🔄
84'
H. Lorentzen ↔ A. F. Gurendal
Start
🔄
84'
O. Toure ↔ F. Palerud
Start
⚽
85'
Z. Tripic · Assist: N. Fuglestad
Viking
🟨
87'
Alexander Gurendal
Start
🔄
88'
Z. Tripic ↔ V. Auklend
Viking

Viking vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Viking Win 100%
Draw 0%
Start Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Viking2.28
Start0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Viking Viking
WWDLW
42 GF / 12 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
17 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.63
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
8
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
7
5.88
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Viking Viking 16 matches
Start Start 16 matches
Viking Statistic Start
13 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
1 Losses 8
42 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 28
2.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
8 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
5.88 Shots On Goal 3.75
16 Total Shots 11
5.88 Corners 3.75
49.9% Ball Possession 43.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Viking's more proactive style and Start's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Start. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Viking arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Start in 15 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Viking expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Viking come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Viking Analysis

Viking come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 21 points after 8 matches. The return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 21:6, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Christiansen (4 goals), H. Heggheim (3 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Tripic (9 assists), P. Christiansen (3 assists), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 4 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 6:16 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Cornelius (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), E. Schulze (1 goals), with creative support from T. Strannegard (2 assists), E. Schulze (1 assists), H. Lorentzen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Viking won 6 times, Start won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from Viking's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Viking 4-4-2 / Start 5-3-2
Missing players: Viking 4, Start 4
H2H summary: Viking wins 6, draws 2, Start wins 1

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Away
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen