KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vihiga United FC Win 65.8%
Draw 0%
Gucha Stars Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vihiga United FC0.92
Gucha Stars1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 48 GA
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars
WLDWL
28 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC 33 matches
Gucha Stars Gucha Stars 32 matches
Vihiga United FC Statistic Gucha Stars
8 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
17 Losses 15
27 Goals For 28
48 Goals Against 34
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
15 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 11
13 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gucha Stars. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gucha Stars having the stronger overall control. Vihiga United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Vihiga United FC Analysis

Vihiga United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 26 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 27:51 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gucha Stars Analysis

Gucha Stars approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 38 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 30:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Vihiga United FC won 0 times, Gucha Stars won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Vihiga United FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vihiga United FC wins 0, draws 0, Gucha Stars wins 1
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
17.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
3
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
2
L
Last matches: Gucha Stars
01.06.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
23.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
2
1
W
16.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
02.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mombasa Elite
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
25.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MCF
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
2
0
W
15.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
0
1
L
24.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
17.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
2
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
2
2
D
H2H: Vihiga United FC vs Gucha Stars
25.10.25
H2H
Gucha Stars
Vihiga United FC
2
1
L
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
0
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
0
1
L
Last matches: Gucha Stars
16.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MOFA
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kibera Black Stars
0
0
D
18.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kabati Youth FC
0
1
L
29.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
MCF
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Mwatate United
1
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
28.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Soy United
0
1
L
17.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Equity Bank
2
3
L
07.01.26
Sup
Gucha Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Naivas
1
0
W
07.12.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Luanda Villa
0
0
D
23.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
3K
0
1
L
09.11.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Gucha Stars
Talanta
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 5 7 54:27 27 77
W W W L W
2 36 22 7 7 58:25 33 73
W D D W W
3 36 23 3 10 49:31 18 72
L D W W L
4 36 20 11 5 53:26 27 71
W W D D W
5 36 16 14 6 50:29 21 62
D D L W L
6 36 17 9 10 45:27 18 60
W W W W D
7 36 16 9 11 57:41 16 57
L L L W L
8 36 15 9 12 46:37 9 54
L W W W W
9 36 15 8 13 31:30 1 53
D D L L D
10 36 13 9 14 30:27 3 48
L D W L D
11 36 11 14 11 36:35 1 47
W L L L D
12 36 12 6 18 29:49 -20 42
W L L W D
13 36 11 8 17 32:38 -6 41
W L W L D
14 36 9 12 15 31:36 -5 39
L D D L L
15 36 9 9 18 21:45 -24 36
L D W D D
16 36 9 8 19 29:50 -21 35
W W L L D
17 36 8 8 20 22:47 -25 32
L D W L L
18 36 8 10 18 22:38 -16 31
W L D W L
19 36 9 8 19 28:53 -25 29
L W L W W
20 36 6 7 23 27:59 -32 25
L L L L D