GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
14.01.2026 17:30
Volkswagen Arena
Referee: Frank Willenborg, Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
24'
Yannick Gerhardt
VfL Wolfsburg
⚽
25'
C. Eriksen
VfL Wolfsburg
⚽
40'
E. Smith · Assist: A. Dzwigala
FC St. Pauli
🟨
53'
Lars Ritzka
FC St. Pauli
🟨
55'
Moritz Jenz
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
61'
L. Majer ↔ M. Amoura
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
68'
L. Ritzka ↔ L. Oppie
FC St. Pauli
🔄
68'
R. Jones ↔ M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🔄
73'
S. Kumbedi ↔ K. Fischer
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
73'
P. Wimmer ↔ A. Daghim
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
83'
A. Zehnter ↔ K. Paredes
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
83'
Y. Gerhardt ↔ M. Svanberg
VfL Wolfsburg
🟨
84'
Adam Dźwigała
FC St. Pauli
⚽
88'
D. Pejcinovic · Assist: A. Daghim
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
90'
M. Pereira Lage ↔ A. Ceesay
FC St. Pauli

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC St. Pauli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
VfL Wolfsburg Win 0%
Draw 0%
FC St. Pauli Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Wolfsburg1.59
FC St. Pauli1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
WWDLW
24 GF / 36 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
13 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.87
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
12
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 16 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 15 matches
VfL Wolfsburg Statistic FC St. Pauli
4 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
24 Goals For 13
36 Goals Against 26
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
12 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 8
9 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 7
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.4
11.75 Total Shots 10.53
3.44 Corners 5.07
45% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 2 times, FC St. Pauli won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from VfL Wolfsburg's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: VfL Wolfsburg 4-2-3-1 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: VfL Wolfsburg wins 2, draws 4, FC St. Pauli wins 0

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
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