GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
25.04.2026 13:30
Volkswagen Arena
Referee: Tobias Stieler, Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
Match Timeline
Borussia Mönchengladbach
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
61'
Fabio Chiarodia
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
70'
A. Zehnter ↔ S. Kumbedi
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
70'
M. Amoura ↔ A. Daghim
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
77'
K. Stoger ↔ G. Reyna
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
77'
F. Honorat ↔ R. Hack
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
83'
P. Wimmer ↔ K. Paredes
VfL Wolfsburg
🔄
89'
H. Tabakovic ↔ S. Machino
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
90+4'
Adam Daghim
VfL Wolfsburg
🟨
90+5'
Robin Hack
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟨
90+4'
Rocco Reitz
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🟥
90+2'
Jens Castrop
Borussia Mönchengladbach
🔄
90+2'
F. C. Chiarodia ↔ K. Takai
Borussia Mönchengladbach

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.4%
-
Probability Distribution
VfL Wolfsburg Win 42.5%
Draw 21.5%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfL Wolfsburg1.49
Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
WWDLW
41 GF / 66 GA
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLDWL
36 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.2
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
23
BTTS Yes
13
21
Over 2.5
16
4
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 30 matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 30 matches
VfL Wolfsburg Statistic Borussia Mönchengladbach
6 Wins 7
6 Draws 10
18 Losses 13
41 Goals For 36
66 Goals Against 50
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
23 BTTS Yes 13
25 Over 1.5 22
21 Over 2.5 16
14 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 11
4 Shots On Goal 4.17
11.47 Total Shots 11.6
4.03 Corners 3.93
45.7% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. VfL Wolfsburg appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Borussia Mönchengladbach. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Wolfsburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Borussia Mönchengladbach in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Borussia Mönchengladbach having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Borussia Mönchengladbach. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. VfL Wolfsburg have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

VfL Wolfsburg Analysis

With 24 points from 30 games and a place of 17, VfL Wolfsburg still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 39:65 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Amoura (8 goals), Dženan Pejčinović (7 goals), P. Wimmer (4 goals), with creative support from C. Eriksen (7 assists), S. Kumbedi (5 assists), Maximilian Arnold (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with B. Dardai, Cleiton, K. Fischer unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Borussia Mönchengladbach Analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach are currently 13 in the standings with 31 points from 30 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 35:49 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Tabakovic (11 goals), Kevin Diks (4 goals), J. Castrop (3 goals), with creative support from F. Honorat (6 assists), Joseph Scally (3 assists), L. Netz (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with T. Kleindienst, K. Diks unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 4 times, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:24 from VfL Wolfsburg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
Predicted formations: VfL Wolfsburg 3-4-2-1 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-5-1-1
Missing players: VfL Wolfsburg 6, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2
H2H summary: VfL Wolfsburg wins 4, draws 5, Borussia Mönchengladbach wins 6

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation