GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
19.09.2026 16:30
MHPArena
Referee: T. Stieler
VfB Stuttgart
Match Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Ermedin Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
17'
Angelo Stiller
VfB Stuttgart
🟨
32'
Nico Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
46'
Joey Veerman
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
57'
Kouakou Joane Gadou
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
62'
Joey Veerman ↔ Jobe Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
62'
Ethan Nwaneri ↔ Konstantinos Karetsas
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
64'
Chris Führich ↔ Jamie Leweling
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
64'
Deniz Undav ↔ Dženan Pejčinović
VfB Stuttgart
⚽
70'
Maximilian Beier · Assist: Jobe Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
74'
Serhou Guirassy ↔ Fábio Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
81'
Jobe Bellingham
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
82'
Julian Ryerson
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
Maximilian Beier ↔ Marcel Sabitzer
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
Julian Ryerson ↔ Ramy Bensebaini
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
84'
Bilal El Khannouss ↔ Leo Sauer
VfB Stuttgart
🔄
84'
Grischa Prömel ↔ Nikolas Nartey
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds 2.48
0 agree / 1 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.7%
2.48 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.39 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
VfB Stuttgart Win 53.7%
Draw 3.5%
Borussia Dortmund Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
VfB Stuttgart2.5
Borussia Dortmund1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
WWDLW
37 GF / 16 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
19 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
3.36
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
8
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 11 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 10 matches
VfB Stuttgart Statistic Borussia Dortmund
7 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
37 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 12
3.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 5.2
16.5 Total Shots 13.6
6 Corners 5.6
54.5% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 6 times, Borussia Dortmund won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:31 from VfB Stuttgart's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: VfB Stuttgart 3-4-2-1 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Missing players: VfB Stuttgart 9, Borussia Dortmund 5
H2H summary: VfB Stuttgart wins 6, draws 2, Borussia Dortmund wins 7

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 4 0 0 9:2 7 12
W W W W
2 4 3 1 0 14:2 12 10
W W D W
3 4 3 1 0 12:3 9 10
D W W W
4 4 2 1 1 11:6 5 7
L D W W
5 4 2 1 1 10:5 5 7
W D W L
6 4 2 1 1 10:6 4 7
W L W D
7 4 2 1 1 8:7 1 7
D L W W
8 4 2 1 1 8:8 0 7
W D W L
9 4 2 0 2 9:5 4 6
L W L W
10 4 1 2 1 9:10 -1 5
D W L D
11 4 1 2 1 3:4 -1 5
D W D L
12 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L L D
13 4 1 1 2 6:9 -3 4
L D L W
14 4 1 0 3 7:10 -3 3
L W L L
15 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
L L W L
16 4 1 0 3 2:13 -11 3
W L L L
17 4 0 1 3 4:17 -13 1
L L L D
18 4 0 0 4 6:16 -10 0
L L L L
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