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16.07.2026 20:00
Throttarvollur
Referee: Marek Radina, Czechia
Vestri
Match Timeline
Qarabag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
J. Mouaddib · Assist: Z. Sawo
Qarabag
⚽
29'
Pedro Bicalho · Assist: Z. Sawo
Qarabag
⚽
56'
Z. Sawo · Assist: Kady Borges
Qarabag
🔄
63'
J. Stensson ↔ G. Hauksson
Vestri
🔄
63'
E. Gardarsson ↔ B. Hermannsson
Vestri
🔄
63'
S. Fall ↔ K. Cheshmedjiev
Vestri
🔄
63'
J. Mouaddib ↔ O. Kashchuk
Qarabag
🔄
63'
A. Zoubir ↔ R. Cephas
Qarabag
🔄
63'
Pedro Bicalho ↔ S. Lobato
Qarabag
🔄
69'
J. Selven ↔ T. G. Hafthorsson
Vestri
🔄
74'
B. Huseynov ↔ C. Makreckis
Qarabag
🔄
74'
B. Langa ↔ E. Cafarquliyev
Qarabag
🔄
78'
B. Eydal ↔ C. Morfelt
Vestri

Vestri vs Qarabag Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vestri Win 56.5%
Draw 5.5%
Qarabag Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vestri1.48
Qarabag2.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vestri Vestri
L L D D W
5 GF / 9 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
W L L W W
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.86
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
8
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vestri Vestri 15 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 7 matches
Vestri Statistic Qarabag
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
6 Losses 2
24 Goals For 20
28 Goals Against 9
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.86
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
8 BTTS Yes 3
12 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Vestri won 0 times, Qarabag won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:6 from Vestri's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Vestri 4-2-3-1 / Qarabag 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vestri wins 0, draws 0, Qarabag wins 2

Standings

UEFA Europa League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:2 8 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 8:0 8 9
W W W
3 3 3 0 0 8:1 7 9
W W W
4 3 3 0 0 9:3 6 9
W W W
5 3 3 0 0 4:1 3 9
W W W
6 3 2 1 0 8:1 7 7
W D W
7 3 2 1 0 9:3 6 7
D W W
8 3 2 1 0 9:5 4 7
D W W
9 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
D W W
10 3 2 0 1 6:2 4 6
W W L
11 3 2 0 1 5:4 1 6
L W W
12 3 2 0 1 5:6 -1 6
L W W
13 3 1 2 0 4:3 1 5
D W D
14 3 1 1 1 8:3 5 4
W D L
15 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
16 3 1 1 1 5:3 2 4
L D W
17 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
18 3 1 1 1 3:4 -1 4
L W D
19 3 1 1 1 1:3 -2 4
W L D
20 3 1 1 1 5:8 -3 4
W D L
21 3 1 1 1 3:6 -3 4
D L W
22 3 1 0 2 4:3 1 3
W L L
23 3 1 0 2 5:5 0 3
W L L
24 3 1 0 2 4:5 -1 3
L W L
25 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
W L L
26 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
L L W
27 3 1 0 2 4:6 -2 3
L W L
28 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
L L W
29 3 0 1 2 2:7 -5 1
D L L
30 3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
L L D
31 3 0 1 2 2:9 -7 1
L D L
32 3 0 1 2 1:9 -8 1
D L L
33 3 0 0 3 2:7 -5 0
L L L
34 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
35 3 0 0 3 3:9 -6 0
L L L
36 3 0 0 3 2:11 -9 0
L L L
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)