BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee: M. Kazlagic
Velež
Match Timeline
Siroki Brijeg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
A. Spahic · Assist: D. Salcin
Velež
35'
A. Spahic · Assist: M. Kuzmanovic
Velež
🔄
42'
I. Bagaric ↔ I. Kraljevic
Siroki Brijeg
🔄
46'
M. Matic ↔ A. Bajkusa
Siroki Brijeg
59'
A. Spahic
Velež
🔄
62'
K. Sesar ↔ H. Sobol
Siroki Brijeg
🔄
62'
L. Perko ↔ T. Tomic
Siroki Brijeg
🔄
64'
V. Djuric ↔ E. Vehabovic
Velež
🔄
64'
S. Pidro ↔ S. Duranovic
Velež
🔄
72'
A. Spahic ↔ D. Dogan
Velež
🔄
76'
M. Klepac ↔ I. Pranjic
Siroki Brijeg
🔄
79'
I. Saric ↔ A. Mesic
Velež
🔄
79'
D. Salcin ↔ A. Milak
Velež

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 66.4%
Draw 10.3%
Siroki Brijeg Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.03
Siroki Brijeg0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
WWDLW
25 GF / 26 GA
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg
WLDWL
27 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.93
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
10
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 29 matches
Siroki Brijeg Siroki Brijeg 29 matches
Velež Statistic Siroki Brijeg
11 Wins 9
7 Draws 10
11 Losses 10
25 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 37
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
10 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 10
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Siroki Brijeg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Siroki Brijeg. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Siroki Brijeg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Velež Analysis

Placed 4 with 40 points from 29 outings, Velež continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, while the 23:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Saric (6 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), D. Salcin (3 goals), with creative support from B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), E. Vehabovic (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Siroki Brijeg Analysis

Siroki Brijeg approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 37 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats with a 27:36 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Stanic (10 goals), D. Jelavic (2 goals), F. Posavac (2 goals), with creative support from I. Pranjic (5 assists), M. Stanic (3 assists), D. Jelavic (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 8 times, Siroki Brijeg won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Velež's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.7%)
H2H summary: Velež wins 8, draws 2, Siroki Brijeg wins 5

Lineups

Velež
Formation
Siroki Brijeg
T. Karic
T. Karic
S. Pidro
S. Pidro
B. Serbecic
B. Serbecic
A. Bajric
A. Bajric
M. Kuzmanovic
🎯
M. Kuzmanovic
A. Babic
A. Babic
R. Abdullah
R. Abdullah
V. Djuric
V. Djuric
D. Salcin
🎯
D. Salcin
I. Saric
I. Saric
A. Spahic
⚽ 3
A. Spahic
R. Josipovic
R. Josipovic
M. Senic
M. Senic
I. Bagaric
I. Bagaric
M. Stanic
M. Stanic
M. Matic
M. Matic
Marcinho
Marcinho
L. Perko
L. Perko
I. Jelic
I. Jelic
K. Sesar
K. Sesar
P. Stanic
P. Stanic
M. Klepac
M. Klepac
Velež 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Karic
19
S. Pidro
↓ 64'
5
B. Serbecic
55
A. Bajric
7
M. Kuzmanovic
🎯 35'
29
A. Babic
6
R. Abdullah
21
V. Djuric
↓ 64'
22
D. Salcin
🎯 25' ↓ 79'
11
I. Saric
↓ 79'
9
A. Spahic
⚽ 25' ⚽ 35' ⚽ 59' ↓ 72'
Substitutes
12
F. Ribic
10
E. Vehabovic
↑ 64'
13
A. Omerovic
17
A. Shhade
18
S. Duranovic
↑ 64'
20
D. Halilovic
28
A. Mesic
↑ 79'
30
D. Dogan
↑ 72'
44
A. Nukic
47
A. Milak
↑ 79'
88
L. Ignatov
Siroki Brijeg 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
R. Josipovic
5
M. Senic
11
I. Bagaric
↓ 42'
16
M. Stanic
18
M. Matic
↓ 46'
25
Marcinho
28
L. Perko
↓ 62'
33
I. Jelic
44
K. Sesar
↓ 62'
95
P. Stanic
97
M. Klepac
↓ 76'
Substitutes
51
I. Puljic
2
I. Pranjic
↑ 76'
4
B. Prusina
6
A. Bajkusa
↑ 46'
13
M. Suto
30
I. Kraljevic
↑ 42'
55
N. Stjepanovic
67
H. Sobol
↑ 62'
77
P. Petrisko
90
T. Tomic
↑ 62'
7
I. Srdoc
Last matches: Velež
26.05.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
3
L
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
Last matches: Siroki Brijeg
25.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
4
0
W
21.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Sloga Doboj
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zrinjski
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Rudar Prijedor
0
1
L
10.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Posušje
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Borac Banja Luka
1
5
L
01.03.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Sloga Doboj
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zrinjski
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Siroki Brijeg
Uskok Klis
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Siroki Brijeg
Kruševo
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Siroki Brijeg
Croatia Zmijavci
0
3
L
21.01.26
Fri
Siroki Brijeg
Sesvete
1
2
L
H2H: Velež vs Siroki Brijeg
21.04.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
15.02.26
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
1
0
L
11.02.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
10.08.25
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
1
3
W
28.03.25
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
2
5
W
12.03.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
2
L
26.02.25
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
2
0
L
23.11.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
1
W
18.08.24
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
0
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
0
1
W
14.03.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
3
L
06.03.24
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
2
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
2
2
D
20.08.23
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
D
Last matches: Velež
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
01.05.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Velež
Odra Opole
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
29.11.25
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Velež
Posušje
0
1
L
15.08.25
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Velež
21.04.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
11.02.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
12.03.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
2
L
23.11.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
1
W
14.03.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
3
L
20.08.23
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
D
Last matches: Siroki Brijeg
21.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Sloga Doboj
0
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Posušje
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Borac Banja Luka
1
5
L
22.02.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zrinjski
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Siroki Brijeg
HNK Hajduk Split
0
2
L
04.12.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3
3
D
29.11.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
25.10.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Velež
0
1
L
03.10.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Posušje
1
1
D
26.09.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Radnik Bijeljina
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Borac Banja Luka
1
5
L
17.08.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Zrinjski
0
0
D
02.08.25
Pre
Siroki Brijeg
Rudar Prijedor
3
1
W
H2H away: Siroki Brijeg
21.04.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
L
11.02.26
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
L
12.03.25
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
2
W
23.11.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
1
L
14.03.24
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
2
3
W
20.08.23
H2H
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W