BOSNIA PREMIJER LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Rodjeni
Referee: M. Pejic
Velež
Match Timeline
Radnik Bijeljina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
V. Djuric · Assist: R. Abdullah
Velež
🔄
46'
A. Milak ↔ D. Salcin
Velež
🟨
56'
B. Dimitric
Radnik Bijeljina
🔄
61'
E. Crnko ↔ F. Agyemang
Radnik Bijeljina
🔄
61'
D. Teodorovic ↔ A. Ijoma
Radnik Bijeljina
🔄
71'
B. Serbecic ↔ A. Omerovic
Velež
🔄
71'
A. Spahic ↔ D. Dogan
Velež
🔄
76'
S. Duranovic ↔ E. Vehabovic
Velež
🔄
76'
A. Hrvanovic ↔ S. Faraj
Radnik Bijeljina
🔄
80'
A. Konate ↔ I. Nikolov
Radnik Bijeljina
🔄
86'
I. Saric ↔ A. Mesic
Velež
🟨
88'
R. Abdullah
Velež

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
49.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 74.8%
Draw 0%
Radnik Bijeljina Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1.04
Radnik Bijeljina0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
WWDLW
28 GF / 26 GA
Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina
WLDWL
27 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.87
0.84
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 31 matches
Radnik Bijeljina Radnik Bijeljina 31 matches
Velež Statistic Radnik Bijeljina
12 Wins 8
8 Draws 9
11 Losses 14
28 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 39
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
0.84 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 5
12 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Velež's more proactive style and Radnik Bijeljina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Radnik Bijeljina. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Radnik Bijeljina having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Velež Analysis

Placed 4 with 44 points from 31 outings, Velež continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 28:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Saric (6 goals), A. Mesic (3 goals), A. Spahic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Salcin (2 assists), B. Serbecic (2 assists), A. Nukic (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Radnik Bijeljina Analysis

So far, Radnik Bijeljina have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 33 points from 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses, while the 27:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Ghorzi (7 goals), L. Cumic (4 goals), D. Pantelic (3 goals), with creative support from D. Teodorovic (3 assists), S. Faraj (3 assists), L. Cumic (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 6 times, Radnik Bijeljina won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:18 from Velež's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Velež wins 6, draws 4, Radnik Bijeljina wins 4

Lineups

Velež
Formation
Radnik Bijeljina
T. Karic
T. Karic
B. Serbecic
B. Serbecic
R. Abdullah
🎯
R. Abdullah
A. Hrkac
A. Hrkac
A. Spahic
A. Spahic
I. Saric
I. Saric
S. Duranovic
S. Duranovic
S. Pidro
S. Pidro
V. Djuric
V. Djuric
A. Babic
A. Babic
A. Milak
A. Milak
E. Trako
E. Trako
S. Radovic
S. Radovic
B. Meyapya
B. Meyapya
E. Crnko
E. Crnko
B. Dimitric
B. Dimitric
H. Karjasevic
H. Karjasevic
A. Hrvanovic
A. Hrvanovic
D. Cosic
D. Cosic
D. Teodorovic
D. Teodorovic
A. Konate
A. Konate
M. Ghorzi
M. Ghorzi
Velež 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Karic
5
B. Serbecic
↓ 71'
6
R. Abdullah
🎯 22' 🟨 88'
8
A. Hrkac
9
A. Spahic
↓ 71'
11
I. Saric
↓ 86'
18
S. Duranovic
↓ 76'
19
S. Pidro
21
V. Djuric
⚽ 22'
29
A. Babic
47
A. Milak
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
F. Ribic
10
E. Vehabovic
↑ 76'
13
A. Omerovic
↑ 71'
17
A. Shhade
20
D. Halilovic
22
D. Salcin
↑ 46'
23
L. Ignatov
28
A. Mesic
↑ 86'
30
D. Dogan
↑ 71'
44
A. Nukic
55
A. Bajric
Radnik Bijeljina 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
17
E. Trako
3
S. Radovic
5
B. Meyapya
10
E. Crnko
↓ 61'
16
B. Dimitric
🟨 56'
19
H. Karjasevic
22
A. Hrvanovic
↓ 76'
26
D. Cosic
29
D. Teodorovic
↓ 61'
70
A. Konate
↓ 80'
77
M. Ghorzi
Substitutes
82
S. Nedic
6
F. Agyemang
↑ 61'
7
S. Faraj
↑ 76'
18
I. Spaic
20
O. Klenpic
24
M. Cubrilo
28
M. Chamseddine
80
I. Nikolov
↑ 80'
99
A. Ijoma
↑ 61'
Last matches: Velež
26.05.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
3
L
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
09.05.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
29.01.26
Fri
Velež
Posušje
2
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Velež
Vukovar
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Velež
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2
1
W
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
Last matches: Radnik Bijeljina
25.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Siroki Brijeg
0
4
L
22.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zrinjski
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Posušje
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Siroki Brijeg
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zrinjski
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Rudar Prijedor
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Posušje
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
0
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Radnik Bijeljina
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Radnik Bijeljina
Opatija
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Radnik Bijeljina
Macva
1
4
L
13.12.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
H2H: Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina
01.05.26
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
3
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
3
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
29.11.24
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
24.08.24
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
4
3
L
15.04.22
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
0
0
D
31.10.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
2
L
08.08.21
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
2
D
27.02.21
H2H
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
0
0
D
26.09.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
21.03.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
0
D
Last matches: Velež
21.05.26
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
4
2
W
21.04.26
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
3
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
0
1
L
06.03.26
Pre
Velež
Posušje
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
0
0
D
11.01.26
Fri
Velež
SV Kapfenberg
2
0
W
08.01.26
Fri
Velež
Odra Opole
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pre
Velež
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
29.11.25
Pre
Velež
Rudar Prijedor
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pre
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Velež
Siroki Brijeg
1
0
W
04.10.25
Pre
Velež
Sloga Doboj
2
0
W
27.09.25
Pre
Velež
Zrinjski
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Velež
Posušje
0
1
L
15.08.25
Pre
Velež
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Velež
Borac Banja Luka
1
1
D
H2H at home: Velež
01.05.26
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
3
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
29.11.24
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
31.10.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
2
L
20.03.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
W
21.03.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
0
D
Last matches: Radnik Bijeljina
25.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Siroki Brijeg
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
0
0
D
22.04.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Posušje
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zrinjski
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Rudar Prijedor
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
0
2
L
27.01.26
Fri
Radnik Bijeljina
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
2
L
21.01.26
Fri
Radnik Bijeljina
Opatija
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0
0
D
08.12.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Siroki Brijeg
3
1
W
28.11.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Sloga Doboj
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Velež
0
1
L
26.10.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Posušje
0
4
L
20.09.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Borac Banja Luka
1
5
L
01.09.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zrinjski
0
2
L
15.08.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Rudar Prijedor
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
FK Sarajevo
4
4
D
27.07.25
Pre
Radnik Bijeljina
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1
1
D
H2H away: Radnik Bijeljina
01.05.26
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
3
2
L
08.02.25
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
L
29.11.24
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
L
31.10.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
1
2
W
20.03.21
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
2
D
26.09.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
2
1
L
21.03.20
H2H
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W