SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Hitachi Energy Arena
Referee: E. Mattsson
Vasteras SK FK
Match Timeline
Orgryte IS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
T. Axel
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
21'
C. Styffe ↔ M. Parker
Orgryte IS
🔄
57'
D. Paulson ↔ J. Tibbling
Orgryte IS
🔄
58'
W. Hofvander ↔ A. Andreasson
Orgryte IS
59'
T. Axel · Assist: K. Gunnarsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
65'
M. Baggesen ↔ J. Karlsson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
65'
M. Keita ↔ V. Wernersson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
79'
I. Lushaku ↔ M. Hellisdal
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
79'
M. Ladefoged ↔ B. Lendambi
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
83'
Owen Parker-Price
Orgryte IS
🔄
88'
S. Lagerlund ↔ M. Ebietomere
Orgryte IS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 83.2%
Draw 8.4%
Orgryte IS Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.91
Orgryte IS1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WWDLW
37 GF / 33 GA
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WLDWL
21 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
10
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 22 matches
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 20 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Orgryte IS
8 Wins 4
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 10
37 Goals For 21
33 Goals Against 45
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.85
10.85 Total Shots 10.85
4.69 Corners 4.15
47.8% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Orgryte IS in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orgryte IS having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Orgryte IS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Orgryte IS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Vasteras SK FK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 18 points compared to Orgryte IS in 15 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

So far, Vasteras SK FK have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 18 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:23 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mikkel Ladefoged (1 goals), Marcus Baggesen (1 goals), with creative support from Ismet Lushaku (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orgryte IS Analysis

With 9 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Orgryte IS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 14:31 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Christoffersson (2 goals), Adam Andersson (1 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 goals), with creative support from Owen Parker-Price (2 assists), Adam Andersson (1 assists), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 4 times, Orgryte IS won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.6%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Orgryte IS 5-3-2
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 4, Orgryte IS 2
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 4, draws 6, Orgryte IS wins 3
Stats
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 9
1 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 9
3 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
511 Total passes 376
414 Passes accurate 281
3.09 expected_goals 1.36
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vasteras SK FK
Formation
Orgryte IS
E. Jager
E. Jager
H. Magnusson
H. Magnusson
P. Bonde
P. Bonde
M. Keita
M. Keita
S. Gefvert
S. Gefvert
M. Diagne
M. Diagne
I. Lushaku
I. Lushaku
M. Baggesen
M. Baggesen
K. Gunnarsson
🎯
K. Gunnarsson
M. Ladefoged
M. Ladefoged
T. Axel
⚽ 2
T. Axel
H. Gustafsson
H. Gustafsson
S. Lagerlund
S. Lagerlund
M. Dyrestam
M. Dyrestam
C. Styffe
C. Styffe
A. Andersson
A. Andersson
O. Parker-Price
O. Parker-Price
B. Laturnus
B. Laturnus
D. Paulson
D. Paulson
T. Sana
T. Sana
N. Christoffersson
N. Christoffersson
W. Hofvander
W. Hofvander
Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3
Starting XI
34
E. Jager
G
2
H. Magnusson
D
4
P. Bonde
D
28
M. Keita
↓ 65'
D
11
S. Gefvert
M
8
M. Diagne
M
14
I. Lushaku
↓ 79'
M
3
M. Baggesen
↓ 65'
M
5
K. Gunnarsson
🎯 59'
F
9
M. Ladefoged
↓ 79'
F
17
T. Axel
⚽ 13' ⚽ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fagerstrom
G
19
J. Magnusson
M
15
J. Karlsson
↑ 65'
D
20
M. Ljungqvist
D
21
V. Wernersson
↑ 65'
M
7
A. Boudah
F
30
M. Hellisdal
↑ 79'
16
B. Lendambi
↑ 79'
F
24
J. Tagesson
D
Orgryte IS 3-4-3
Starting XI
44
H. Gustafsson
G
33
S. Lagerlund
↓ 88'
D
6
M. Dyrestam
D
5
C. Styffe
↓ 21'
D
18
A. Andersson
M
23
O. Parker-Price
🟨 83'
M
8
B. Laturnus
14
D. Paulson
↓ 57'
M
22
T. Sana
F
11
N. Christoffersson
F
17
W. Hofvander
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
34
A. Rahm
G
3
J. Azulay
D
21
W. Kenndal
M
19
A. Andreasson
↑ 58'
D
15
J. Tibbling
↑ 57'
F
16
H. Dahlqvist
D
7
C. Vindehall
M
2
M. Parker
↑ 21'
D
29
M. Ebietomere
↑ 88'
D
Last matches: Vasteras SK FK
29.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
3
1
W
23.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
0
0
D
14.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
0
3
L
10.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
03.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
0
6
L
17.07.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Mjallby AIF
0
0
D
12.07.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
0
W
04.07.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Halmstad
3
1
W
28.06.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
2
3
L
31.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg
4
5
L
24.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
3
2
W
17.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
0
1
L
03.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Hammarby FF
0
3
L
26.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
22.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
3
3
D
18.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Sirius
1
4
L
11.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
2
2
D
05.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Sandviken
3
1
W
Last matches: Orgryte IS
22.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
Halmstad
1
1
D
16.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
IF Brommapojkarna
1
3
L
08.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
3
4
L
02.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
3
0
W
20.07.26
All
Orgryte IS
Djurgardens IF
0
0
D
11.07.26
All
Orgryte IS
BK Hacken
4
3
W
05.07.26
All
Orgryte IS
Kalmar FF
0
3
L
25.06.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
Tromso
1
4
L
29.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
IF Elfsborg
2
2
D
23.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Halmstad
0
2
L
19.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
IFK Goteborg
2
3
L
11.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Sirius
0
2
L
03.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Gais
0
4
L
27.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Degerfors IF
1
1
D
22.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
IF Brommapojkarna
1
2
L
18.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Hammarby FF
1
8
L
11.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Mjallby AIF
2
0
W
05.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Malmo FF
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
Lillestrom
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
Landvetter IS
1
0
W
H2H: Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS
24.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
24.10.25
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
0
2
W
08.04.25
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
1
0
L
10.04.23
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
26.07.22
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
1
1
D
30.10.21
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
2
D
01.05.21
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
1
1
D
22.11.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
3
L
03.08.20
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
2
1
L
11.08.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
26.04.19
H2H
Orgryte IS
Vasteras SK FK
0
2
W
Last matches: Vasteras SK FK
23.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Kalmar FF
0
0
D
10.08.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
1
0
W
12.07.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
2
0
W
31.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg
4
5
L
17.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
09.05.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
0
1
L
22.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken
3
3
D
11.04.26
All
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Sandviken
3
1
W
15.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Ostersunds FK
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Gefle IF
4
0
W
24.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Enköping
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Degerfors IF
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Vasteras SK FK
Djurgardens IF
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vasteras SK FK
24.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
08.04.25
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
10.04.23
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
30.10.21
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
3
L
11.08.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
Last matches: Orgryte IS
16.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
IF Brommapojkarna
1
3
L
02.08.26
All
Orgryte IS
AIK Stockholm
3
0
W
05.07.26
All
Orgryte IS
Kalmar FF
0
3
L
25.06.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
Tromso
1
4
L
23.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Halmstad
0
2
L
11.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Sirius
0
2
L
03.05.26
All
Orgryte IS
Gais
0
4
L
18.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Hammarby FF
1
8
L
11.04.26
All
Orgryte IS
Mjallby AIF
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
BK Hacken
0
2
L
30.01.26
Fri
Orgryte IS
Valerenga
0
4
L
H2H away: Orgryte IS
24.07.26
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
L
08.04.25
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
10.04.23
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
1
1
D
30.10.21
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
2
D
22.11.20
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
0
3
W
11.08.19
H2H
Vasteras SK FK
Orgryte IS
2
0
L

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 47:26 21 42
L L D W W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
4 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
5 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
6 17 9 2 6 37:19 18 29
W L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
8 18 8 2 8 32:30 2 26
L W L W L
9 18 6 6 6 27:27 0 24
W W D L D
10 18 6 5 7 21:18 3 23
L L W D L
11 16 5 5 6 24:23 1 20
W L L D L
12 18 5 5 8 23:39 -16 20
D L W W L
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 18 3 5 10 22:41 -19 14
D L L W L
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Vasteras SK FK 4 missing
-
F. Nsabiyumva
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Ring
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
A. Boudah
Questionable Lacking Match Fitness
OUT
-
M. Diallo
Questionable Injury
OUT
Orgryte IS 2 missing
-
A. Abukar
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
R. Alm
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT