SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
--.--.---- --:--
Hitachi Energy Arena
Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
Match Timeline
Kalmar FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Victor Wernersson
Vasteras SK FK
🟨
40'
Lars Sætra
Kalmar FF
🔄
46'
V. Wernersson ↔ J. Tagesson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
60'
K. Gunnarsson ↔ J. Magnusson
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
60'
A. Boudah ↔ B. Lendambi
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
60'
A. Magashy ↔ M. Stolt
Kalmar FF
🔄
60'
M. Hallberg ↔ E. Dall
Kalmar FF
🟨
70'
Simon Gefvert
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
73'
J. Karlsson ↔ M. Baggesen
Vasteras SK FK
🔄
80'
A. Almqvist ↔ Z. Ravik
Kalmar FF
🔄
85'
S. Overby ↔ M. Soderback
Kalmar FF
🔄
90'
M. Hellisdal ↔ M. Abdi
Vasteras SK FK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vasteras SK FK Win 70.5%
Draw 5.3%
Kalmar FF Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasteras SK FK1.55
Kalmar FF1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
WWDLW
40 GF / 42 GA
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
WLDWL
39 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
12
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
16
3.94
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 26 matches
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 27 matches
Vasteras SK FK Statistic Kalmar FF
10 Wins 10
6 Draws 4
10 Losses 13
40 Goals For 39
42 Goals Against 42
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
12 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
3.94 Shots On Goal 4.29
10.59 Total Shots 12.59
4.12 Corners 4.88
47.2% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasteras SK FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Kalmar FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kalmar FF having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kalmar FF.

Vasteras SK FK Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Vasteras SK FK have collected 25 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 25:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Taonsa Axel (2 goals), Marcus Baggesen (1 goals), Bonaventure Lendambi (1 goals), with creative support from Ismet Lushaku (1 assists), Mattias Hellisdal (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalmar FF Analysis

Kalmar FF sit 12 with 18 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, while the 21:24 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Charles Sagoe Jr. (2 goals), Charlie Rosenqvist (2 goals), Carl Gustafsson (2 goals), with creative support from Charles Sagoe Jr. (3 assists), Abdussalam Magashy (1 assists), Robert Gojani (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Vasteras SK FK won 3 times, Kalmar FF won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Vasteras SK FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Vasteras SK FK 3-4-3 / Kalmar FF 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Vasteras SK FK 4, Kalmar FF 2
H2H summary: Vasteras SK FK wins 3, draws 2, Kalmar FF wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 47:27 20 42
L L L D W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 18 10 2 6 41:19 22 32
W W L L W
4 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
5 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
6 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
7 19 9 2 8 33:30 3 29
W L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
9 19 7 5 7 25:18 7 26
W L L W D
10 19 6 6 7 27:31 -4 24
L W W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 17 5 5 7 24:27 -3 20
L W L L D
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
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Relegation