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HUNGARY › NB I
24.10.2026 15:00
Illovszky Rudolf Stadion

Vasas vs Paks Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vasas Win 61.8%
Draw 5.6%
Paks Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasas1.99
Paks2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasas Vasas
WWDLW
33 GF / 20 GA
Paks Paks
WLDWL
65 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
2.6
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
11
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
21
3.7
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasas Vasas 16 matches
Paks Paks 25 matches
Vasas Statistic Paks
9 Wins 10
3 Draws 6
4 Losses 9
33 Goals For 65
20 Goals Against 47
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
11 BTTS Yes 18
12 Over 1.5 23
11 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 16
3 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
3.7 Shots On Goal 6
11.3 Total Shots 16.82
3.4 Corners 6.27
36% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vasas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Paks in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paks having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Paks.

Vasas Analysis

Vasas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 15 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 18:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Kovácsréti (2 goals), M. Tóth (2 goals), M. Koszta (2 goals), with creative support from J. Urblík (2 assists), M. Kovácsréti (1 assists), M. Tóth (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Paks Analysis

Paks come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 14 points after 9 matches. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:17, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Szalai (6 goals), M. Pető (3 goals), J. Windecker (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Haraszti (2 assists), A. Lapu (2 assists), K. Papp (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasas won 5 times, Paks won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from Vasas's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Vasas 4-2-3-1 / Paks 5-4-1
H2H summary: Vasas wins 5, draws 1, Paks wins 9

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 0 3 14:10 4 18
W W L L W
2
Vasas Home
10 4 3 3 18:13 5 15
L D W W L
3 9 4 3 2 16:11 5 15
L W W L D
4 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
D W D W L
5
Paks Away
9 4 2 3 19:17 2 14
W W L D W
6 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
D D D W W
7 10 3 3 4 16:17 -1 12
W L L L D
8 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
D L W D D
9 9 2 4 3 13:16 -3 10
D L W D D
10 9 3 0 6 12:18 -6 9
W L W L L
11 9 2 2 5 10:19 -9 8
L D L D L
12 8 1 4 3 12:15 -3 7
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation