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WORLD › UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Vardar Skopje
FT
2 - 3
Riga
Gradski Park
Referee: P. Farrugia
Vardar Skopje
Match Timeline
Riga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Mislav Matić
Vardar Skopje
🟨
20'
Baba Musah
Riga
🟨
21'
Orlando Galo
Riga
⚽
28'
D. Castaneda
Vardar Skopje
⚽
35'
O. Galo · Assist: R. Jurkovskis
Riga
⚽
39'
Iago Siqueira · Assist: O. Galo
Riga
🟨
43'
Raivis Jurkovskis
Riga
🟨
52'
Salah Oulad M'Hand
Riga
🔄
57'
S. Oulad M'Hand ↔ Caio Ferreira
Riga
🔄
59'
Miguel Pires ↔ G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🔄
59'
B. Nikolov ↔ N. Bosancic
Vardar Skopje
⚽
66'
G. Rodrigues · Assist: G. Zakaric
Vardar Skopje
🔄
67'
M. Badamosi ↔ Reginaldo Ramires
Riga
🔄
67'
R. Aouani ↔ Paulo Eduardo
Riga
⚽
81'
Iago Siqueira · Assist: A. Salazar
Riga
🔄
87'
O. Galo ↔ K. Wassom
Riga
🟨
90+1'
Filip Najdovski
Vardar Skopje

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vardar Skopje Win 49.4%
Draw 11.8%
Riga Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vardar Skopje1.19
Riga2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje
WWDLW
14 GF / 22 GA
Riga Riga
WLDWL
85 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.66
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
6
BTTS Yes
20
6
Over 2.5
26
0
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vardar Skopje Vardar Skopje 11 matches
Riga Riga 32 matches
Vardar Skopje Statistic Riga
3 Wins 23
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
14 Goals For 85
22 Goals Against 34
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.66
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
6 BTTS Yes 20
9 Over 1.5 30
6 Over 2.5 26
4 Over 3.5 17
1 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 3.5
0 Total Shots 8
0 Corners 1
0% Ball Possession 26.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Vardar Skopje won 0 times, Riga won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Vardar Skopje's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Vardar Skopje 4-3-3 / Riga 3-5-2
H2H summary: Vardar Skopje wins 0, draws 0, Riga wins 2

Lineups

Vardar Skopje
Formation
Riga
D. Taleski
D. Taleski
G. Jankulov
G. Jankulov
F. Najdovski
F. Najdovski
M. Matic
M. Matic
M. Manevski
M. Manevski
B. Nikolov
↓
B. Nikolov
D. Babunski
D. Babunski
D. Castaneda
⚽
D. Castaneda
Miguel Pires
↓
Miguel Pires
A. Omeragic
A. Omeragic
G. Rodrigues
⚽
G. Rodrigues
F. Orols
F. Orols
R. Jurkovskis
🎯
R. Jurkovskis
B. Musah
B. Musah
A. Cernomordijs
A. Cernomordijs
O. Galo
⚽ 🎯 ↓
O. Galo
S. Oulad M'Hand
↓
S. Oulad M'Hand
A. Ankrah
A. Ankrah
Iago Siqueira
⚽ 2
Iago Siqueira
A. Salazar
🎯
A. Salazar
M. Badamosi
↓
M. Badamosi
R. Aouani
↓
R. Aouani
Vardar Skopje 4-3-3
Starting XI
95
D. Taleski
G
21
G. Jankulov
D
5
F. Najdovski
🟨 90+1'
D
4
M. Matic
🟨 15'
D
3
M. Manevski
D
8
B. Nikolov
↓ 59'
M
6
D. Babunski
M
32
D. Castaneda
⚽ 28'
M
71
Miguel Pires
↓ 59'
M
9
A. Omeragic
F
7
G. Rodrigues
⚽ 66'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Dikovski
G
10
G. Zakaric
🎯 66' ↑ 59'
F
17
E. Spahiu
F
18
N. Mishkovski
D
22
D. Todorovski
M
23
F. Duranski
M
27
F. Cvetkovski
D
31
I. Markovski
F
34
I. Puleio
M
49
D. Danev
F
88
N. Bosancic
↑ 59'
M
Riga 3-5-2
Starting XI
91
F. Orols
G
13
R. Jurkovskis
🎯 35' 🟨 43'
D
21
B. Musah
🟨 20'
D
34
A. Cernomordijs
D
4
O. Galo
⚽ 35' 🎯 39' ↓ 87' 🟨 21'
M
18
S. Oulad M'Hand
↓ 57' 🟨 52'
M
40
A. Ankrah
M
8
Iago Siqueira
⚽ 39' ⚽ 81'
M
17
A. Salazar
🎯 81'
D
19
M. Badamosi
↓ 67'
F
7
R. Aouani
↓ 67'
M
Substitutes
31
A. Papadoudis
G
44
M. Kazainis
G
3
Abner
D
5
K. Wassom
↑ 87'
D
10
Reginaldo Ramires
↑ 67'
F
11
B. Pena
22
M. Diop
23
M. Tonisevs
D
25
A. Taiwo
F
33
Paulo Eduardo
↑ 67'
D
99
Caio Ferreira
↑ 57'
F
Last matches: Vardar Skopje
16.08.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
0
1
L
09.08.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
0
2
L
28.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
5
L
25.07.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bregalnica Štip
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
0
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Virtus
3
2
W
27.06.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
La Fiorita
1
1
D
23.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
3
0
W
15.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
1
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
2
1
W
02.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
2
0
W
26.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Tikveš
7
0
W
18.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkupi 1927
7
0
W
11.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
FK Rabotnicki
1
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Pelister
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Makedonija GjP
5
1
W
21.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Aresimi
0
1
L
14.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Akademija Pandev
1
0
W
09.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
1
0
W
Last matches: Riga
13.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
1
D
09.08.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
4
0
W
28.07.26
UEF
Riga
Vardar Skopje
5
2
W
18.07.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
14.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
3
2
W
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
03.07.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
3
0
W
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
21.06.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
4
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
29.05.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
2
2
D
12.05.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
4
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
H2H: Vardar Skopje vs Riga
28.07.26
H2H
Riga
Vardar Skopje
5
2
L
22.07.26
H2H
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
3
L
Last matches: Vardar Skopje
09.08.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bregalnica Štip
2
0
W
07.07.26
UEF
Vardar Skopje
KuPS
0
2
L
23.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
3
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Tikveš
7
0
W
11.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
FK Rabotnicki
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Makedonija GjP
5
1
W
14.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Akademija Pandev
1
0
W
05.03.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkendija
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Bashkimi Kumanovo
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Aresimi
5
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Vardar Skopje
Andijan
1
1
D
30.11.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Shkupi 1927
6
1
W
09.11.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Tikveš
3
1
W
31.10.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Sileks
2
1
W
05.10.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Struga
2
2
D
21.09.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
FK Rabotnicki
3
1
W
12.09.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Makedonija GjP
1
0
W
22.08.25
Fir
Vardar Skopje
Akademija Pandev
2
2
D
H2H at home: Vardar Skopje
22.07.26
H2H
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
3
L
Last matches: Riga
13.08.26
UEF
Riga
Gyori ETO FC
1
1
D
07.07.26
UEF
Riga
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
29.06.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
13.06.26
Vir
Riga
Ogre United
4
1
W
20.05.26
Vir
Riga
Tukums
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vir
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
28.04.26
Vir
Riga
Rīgas FS
3
3
D
18.04.26
Vir
Riga
Grobiņa
3
0
W
14.04.26
Vir
Riga
Super Nova
4
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Riga
FS Jelgava
8
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Riga
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
20.03.26
Vir
Riga
Auda
2
1
W
07.03.26
Vir
Riga
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.02.26
Fri
Riga
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Riga
LNZ Cherkasy
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Riga
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Riga
Dubai United
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
Riga
Sparta Praha
0
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
Riga
Beitar Jerusalem
1
3
L
H2H away: Riga
22.07.26
H2H
Vardar Skopje
Riga
2
3
W