ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Parnu Rannastaadion
Referee: T. Uprus
Vaprus
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
M. Lepik · Assist: S. Kapper
Vaprus
5'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
8'
M. Seppik
Vaprus
9'
M. Limberg
FC Levadia Tallinn
13'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
42'
E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
45'
Wendell · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
58'
E. Otoo ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
64'
Wendell · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
V. Vallik ↔ S. Viidas
Vaprus
🔄
66'
H. Valja ↔ R. Orm
Vaprus
🔄
66'
R. Peetson ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
T. Pajo ↔ A. Korre
Vaprus
🔄
74'
M. Lepik ↔ R. Roosson
Vaprus
🔄
74'
Wendell ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
F. Liivak ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
V. Iboro ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
81'
J. Sild ↔ J. Allas
Vaprus
89'
Joao Pedro · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vaprus Win 28.5%
Draw 0%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 71.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vaprus1.56
FC Levadia Tallinn2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vaprus Vaprus
WWDLW
34 GF / 34 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.41
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vaprus Vaprus 18 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 17 matches
Vaprus Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
7 Wins 11
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
34 Goals For 41
34 Goals Against 18
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 30 points while Vaprus sit 6 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vaprus Analysis

So far, Vaprus have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:22 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Valja (6 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), K. Aloe (2 goals), with creative support from M. Limberg (2 assists), M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 30 points after 12 outings. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tambedou (10 goals), Wendell (6 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (5 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:32 from Vaprus's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vaprus wins 1, draws 5, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9

Lineups

Vaprus
Formation
FC Levadia Tallinn
O. Nomm
O. Nomm
M. Seppik
M. Seppik
M. Lipp
M. Lipp
S. Aer
S. Aer
J. Sild
J. Sild
H. Valja
H. Valja
T. Pajo
T. Pajo
S. Kapper
🎯
S. Kapper
V. Vallik
V. Vallik
M. Limberg
M. Limberg
M. Lepik
M. Lepik
K. Vallner
K. Vallner
F. Liivak
🎯
F. Liivak
A. Nwankwo
A. Nwankwo
V. Iboro
V. Iboro
J. Saliste
J. Saliste
R. Peetson
R. Peetson
M. Ainsalu
🎯
M. Ainsalu
E. Otoo
E. Otoo
M. Roosnupp
M. Roosnupp
Wendell
⚽ 2
Wendell
B. Tambedou
🎯
B. Tambedou
Vaprus 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
O. Nomm
43
M. Seppik
🟨 8'
28
M. Lipp
5
S. Aer
90
J. Sild
↓ 81'
20
H. Valja
↓ 66'
8
T. Pajo
↓ 74'
17
S. Kapper
🎯 3'
7
V. Vallik
↓ 66'
42
M. Limberg
⚽ 9'
22
M. Lepik
⚽ 3' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
1
H. Vainu
12
M. Ristimets
10
S. Viidas
↑ 66'
11
K. Kauber
14
R. Orm
↑ 66'
19
A. Korre
↑ 74'
64
J. Allas
↑ 81'
81
E. Dolgov
86
R. Roosson
↑ 74'
88
E. Keskula
FC Levadia Tallinn 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
99
K. Vallner
23
F. Liivak
🎯 45' 🎯 64' ↓ 74'
20
A. Nwankwo
35
V. Iboro
↓ 74'
29
J. Saliste
6
R. Peetson
↓ 66'
11
M. Ainsalu
⚽ 13' 🎯 5'
33
E. Otoo
↓ 58' 🟨 42'
5
M. Roosnupp
10
Wendell
⚽ 45' ⚽ 64' ↓ 74'
9
B. Tambedou
⚽ 5' 🎯 89'
Substitutes
1
O. Ani
4
T. Tammik
↑ 74'
7
G. Lehtmets
↑ 74'
17
R. Kirss
18
Alexandre
↑ 66'
21
M. Skvortsov
30
H. Liiv
36
Joao Pedro
⚽ 89' ↑ 58'
71
Kaua Davi
↑ 74'
Last matches: Vaprus
16.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
13.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
16.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
2
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
21.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
18.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
0
2
L
08.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
0
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
1
2
L
14.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
1
7
L
07.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Metta / LU
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
4
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
W
H2H: Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
08.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
22.08.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
1
3
W
28.05.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
2
D
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
22.09.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
3
1
L
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
1
1
D
01.11.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
0
0
D
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
05.03.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
0
0
D
Last matches: Vaprus
16.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
2
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
04.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
0
2
L
07.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
0
2
L
04.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Metta / LU
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
W
17.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
H2H at home: Vaprus
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
L
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
L
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
24.05.26
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
W
26.10.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
15.03.25
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W
10.08.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
4
W
19.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
W
06.08.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
3
W
24.05.23
H2H
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 4 0 45:13 32 43
D W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 17 9 3 5 29:14 15 30
D L D L W
4 16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga