ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
24.05.2026 14:00
Parnu Rannastaadion
Referee: T. Uprus
Vaprus
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
M. Lepik · Assist: S. Kapper
Vaprus
⚽
5'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
8'
M. Seppik
Vaprus
⚽
9'
M. Limberg
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
13'
M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
42'
E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
45'
Wendell · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
58'
E. Otoo ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
64'
Wendell · Assist: F. Liivak
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
66'
V. Vallik ↔ S. Viidas
Vaprus
🔄
66'
H. Valja ↔ R. Orm
Vaprus
🔄
66'
R. Peetson ↔ Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
T. Pajo ↔ A. Korre
Vaprus
🔄
74'
M. Lepik ↔ R. Roosson
Vaprus
🔄
74'
Wendell ↔ T. Tammik
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
F. Liivak ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
74'
V. Iboro ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
81'
J. Sild ↔ J. Allas
Vaprus
⚽
89'
Joao Pedro · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn

Vaprus vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vaprus Win 28.5%
Draw 0%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 71.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vaprus1.56
FC Levadia Tallinn2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vaprus Vaprus
WWDLW
34 GF / 34 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2.41
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
10
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vaprus Vaprus 18 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 17 matches
Vaprus Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
7 Wins 11
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
34 Goals For 41
34 Goals Against 18
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
10 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Levadia Tallinn. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 30 points while Vaprus sit 6 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vaprus Analysis

So far, Vaprus have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:22 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Valja (6 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), K. Aloe (2 goals), with creative support from M. Limberg (2 assists), M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 30 points after 12 outings. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by B. Tambedou (10 goals), Wendell (6 goals), E. Otoo (4 goals), with creative support from M. Ainsalu (5 assists), M. Skvortsov (5 assists), J. Saliste (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vaprus won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:33 from Vaprus's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vaprus wins 1, draws 5, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 9

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 22 6 1 81:21 60 72
D W W W W
2 29 18 1 10 59:39 20 55
W W D W W
3 29 15 6 8 48:36 12 51
W W L W L
4 29 15 5 9 52:27 25 50
W W L L L
5 29 14 2 13 37:47 -10 44
L L W L W
6 29 11 2 16 40:47 -7 35
D W L L W
7 29 10 4 15 39:57 -18 34
L L L W W
8 29 8 5 16 31:49 -18 29
D L L W D
9 29 9 1 19 47:68 -21 28
L L W L L
10 29 5 4 20 22:65 -43 19
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga