Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valur Reykjavik
17 matches
Stjarnan
21 matches
| Valur Reykjavik | Statistic | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 1 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 27 | Goals For | 40 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.9 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.24 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stjarnan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valur Reykjavik expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Stjarnan in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 19 points from 16 games and a place of 5, Valur Reykjavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:32 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Stjarnan sit 10 with 15 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 29:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valur Reykjavik won 8 times, Stjarnan won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:22 from Valur Reykjavik's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Valur Reykjavik
Zrinjski
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
Ilves
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Stjarnan
Breidablik
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Keflavik
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
B 93
Valur Reykjavik
Zrinjski
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
Keflavik
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
B 93
Stjarnan
Karpaty
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 54:12 | 42 | 43 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58:36 | 22 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 41:28 | 13 | 34 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35:26 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Valur Reykjavik
Home
|
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26:34 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 26:34 | -8 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 15 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Stjarnan
Away
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 29:41 | -12 | 15 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 11 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 20:31 | -11 | 13 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17:42 | -25 | 12 |
D
W
L
D
L
|