ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
17.08.2026 18:00
Referee: H. M. Jonasson
Valur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
J. Arnason · Assist: A. Palsson
KA Akureyri
16'
H. Steingrimsson · Assist: J. Pedersen
KA Akureyri
21'
H. Eyjolfsson · Assist: T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
39'
J. Arnason · Assist: K. Gautason
KA Akureyri
🔄
46'
M. Veldman ↔ H. Gunnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
52'
J. Arnason ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🔄
61'
D. Gardarson ↔ S. Veseli
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
61'
G. Hrafnkelsson ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
61'
P. Pedersen · Assist: H. Eyjolfsson
Valur Reykjavik
67'
P. Pedersen · Assist: H. Eyjolfsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
72'
A. Palsson ↔ M. M. Petursson
KA Akureyri
🔄
72'
J. Pedersen ↔ V. Saevarsson
KA Akureyri
78'
H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
79'
P. Pedersen ↔ J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
79'
B. Heimisson ↔ K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
83'
T. Haraldsson · Assist: L. Heimisson
Valur Reykjavik

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valur Reykjavik Win 68.7%
Draw 17.2%
KA Akureyri Win 14.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valur Reykjavik1.71
KA Akureyri1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WWDLW
34 GF / 45 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.37
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
14
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
12
0.8
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 22 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 19 matches
Valur Reykjavik Statistic KA Akureyri
8 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
12 Losses 11
34 Goals For 26
45 Goals Against 37
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
14 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 12
12 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
0.8 Shots On Goal 0
2.6 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
13.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KA Akureyri. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valur Reykjavik expected to line up in 5-4-1 and KA Akureyri in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valur Reykjavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

With 22 points from 18 games and a place of 5, Valur Reykjavik still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 31:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

So far, KA Akureyri have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 15 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 24:36 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valur Reykjavik won 7 times, KA Akureyri won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:23 from Valur Reykjavik's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Valur Reykjavik 5-4-1 / KA Akureyri 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Valur Reykjavik wins 7, draws 3, KA Akureyri wins 5

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs