ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
30.08.2026 19:15
Referee: P. Gudmundsson
Valur Reykjavik
Match Timeline
IA Akranes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. P. Ellertsson · Assist: G. Unnarsson
IA Akranes
🟨
39'
D. Gardarson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
41'
B. Berndsen
IA Akranes
🔄
57'
R. Thrastarson ↔ O. Stefansson
IA Akranes
🟨
58'
B. Bodvarsson
IA Akranes
🔄
66'
B. Heimisson ↔ S. Veseli
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
66'
P. Pedersen ↔ I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
67'
G. Unnarsson ↔ J. Vall
IA Akranes
🔄
68'
S. Thorsteinsson ↔ R. Sigurjonsson
IA Akranes
79'
L. Heimisson · Assist: D. Gardarson
Valur Reykjavik
81'
J. Jonsson · Assist: I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
86'
S. Ellertsson ↔ M. Gunnarsson
IA Akranes
90+5'
B. Berndsen · Assist: R. Sigurjonsson
IA Akranes

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.7%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.28
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.7%
1.44
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.28
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.27
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.33
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Valur Reykjavik Win 29.3%
Draw 26.1%
IA Akranes Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valur Reykjavik1.71
IA Akranes1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WWDLW
38 GF / 51 GA
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WLDWL
34 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.7
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
13
0.8
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 24 matches
IA Akranes IA Akranes 20 matches
Valur Reykjavik Statistic IA Akranes
8 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
13 Losses 8
38 Goals For 34
51 Goals Against 38
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
15 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 17
16 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 3
0.8 Shots On Goal 0
2.6 Total Shots 0
1 Corners 0
13.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward IA Akranes. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IA Akranes having the stronger overall control. Valur Reykjavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik sit 7 with 23 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 10 defeats with a 35:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 25 points after 19 matches. With 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:37, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valur Reykjavik won 8 times, IA Akranes won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:17 from Valur Reykjavik's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Valur Reykjavik 4-3-3 / IA Akranes -
H2H summary: Valur Reykjavik wins 8, draws 3, IA Akranes wins 4

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W W D D W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D L D D W
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
L W L D W
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W L W D D
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
D L L L W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L W D W W
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
D W W D L
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W W L W D
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L L W W L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
W L W D L
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs