MALTA PREMIER LEAGUE
15.05.2026 17:00
Tony Bezzina Stadium
Referee: A. Johnson
Valletta FC
Match Timeline
Hamrun Spartans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
J. Mbong
Hamrun Spartans
7'
D. Ceter
Hamrun Spartans
🟨
16'
E. Mbende
Valletta FC
🔄
41'
Rafael Compri ↔ Y. Inzoudine
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
46'
S. Radic ↔ M. Ellul
Valletta FC
🔄
46'
J. Mendoza ↔ A. Zammit
Valletta FC
🟨
57'
K. Serber
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
62'
K. Serber ↔ O. Bjelicic
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
72'
J. Azzopardi ↔ Y. Yankam
Valletta FC
🟨
73'
Y. Yankam
Valletta FC
🔄
79'
E. Mbende ↔ N. Micallef
Valletta FC
🔄
90'
M. Garcia ↔ S. Attard
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
90+1'
D. Ceter ↔ B. Eleke
Hamrun Spartans
🔄
90'
Ederson ↔ D. Bulevardi
Hamrun Spartans

Valletta FC vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valletta FC Win 67.8%
Draw 0%
Hamrun Spartans Win 32.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valletta FC1.16
Hamrun Spartans1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valletta FC Valletta FC
WWDLW
41 GF / 24 GA
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
WLDWL
64 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
14
BTTS Yes
18
9
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
1.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valletta FC Valletta FC 33 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 47 matches
Valletta FC Statistic Hamrun Spartans
14 Wins 21
12 Draws 9
7 Losses 17
41 Goals For 64
24 Goals Against 49
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
14 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 35
9 Over 2.5 20
5 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 20
12 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 1.75
0 Total Shots 5.33
0 Corners 2.25
0% Ball Possession 23.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Valletta FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hamrun Spartans having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Hamrun Spartans. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Valletta FC Analysis

Valletta FC sit 4 with 24 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 21:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Yuri (12 goals), A. Zammit (6 goals), A. Adebayo (5 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Hamrun Spartans Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 28 points from 16 games, Hamrun Spartans bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Mbong (14 goals), D. Ceter (5 goals), M. Garcia (5 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Valletta FC won 3 times, Hamrun Spartans won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Valletta FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Valletta FC - / Hamrun Spartans 4-3-3
H2H summary: Valletta FC wins 3, draws 3, Hamrun Spartans wins 8

Standings

Premier League , Closing Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 4 0 20:7 13 25
W W W L W
2 11 6 4 1 16:4 12 22
W L L W W
3 11 5 4 2 12:12 0 19
L W W W W
4 11 5 3 3 20:18 2 18
L L D L D
5 11 4 5 2 16:7 9 17
L L W L L
6 11 5 2 4 14:12 2 17
L D L W L
7 11 4 4 3 10:11 -1 16
L D D W D
8 11 3 4 4 12:12 0 13
D D D L W
9 11 3 2 6 11:17 -6 11
L W D L D
10 11 2 4 5 13:15 -2 10
W L W D D
11 11 1 3 7 9:21 -12 6
L W W D D
12 11 1 1 9 7:24 -17 4
W D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round