Valerenga vs Lillestrom Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.3%
|
- |
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
11 matches
Lillestrom
14 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 32 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 13.75 | Total Shots | 13.75 |
| 6.25 | Corners | 4.75 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Lillestrom seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Lillestrom carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 10 points while Valerenga sit 4 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lillestrom. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Lillestrom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lillestrom having the stronger overall control.
Valerenga come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 7 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 3:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Lange (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), M. Grundetjern (1 goals), with creative support from K. Finnsson (1 assists), M. Westergaard (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Ofkir unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Operating from 2 place with 10 points from 4 games, Lillestrom bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 3:1, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. Olsen (3 goals), Felix Va (2 goals), M. Karlsbakk (2 goals), with creative support from T. Olsen (1 assists), Felix Va (1 assists), L. Ranger (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with F. Elkaer, K. Krygard, M. Waehler unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 4 times, Lillestrom won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Valerenga's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47:14 | 33 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 43 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 14 | 35 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 26 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Lillestrom
Away
|
18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 23 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Valerenga
Home
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 12 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | -8 | 19 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:29 | -12 | 16 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28:43 | -15 | 15 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | -19 | 13 |
W
L
L
W
L
|