NORWAY ELITESERIEN
03.05.2026 17:15
Intility Arena
Referee: E. Eskas
Valerenga
Match Timeline
KFUM Oslo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
H. Hoseth
Valerenga
33'
M. Grodem · Assist: M. Eikrem
KFUM Oslo
🟨
39'
Hakon Sjatil
Valerenga
🟨
45+2'
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist
KFUM Oslo
51'
L. Haren · Assist: H. Bjordal
Valerenga
55'
M. Eikrem · Assist: H. Hoseth
KFUM Oslo
🔄
61'
M. Eikrem ↔ M. Vinjor
KFUM Oslo
🟨
64'
Henrik Bjørdal
Valerenga
🔄
68'
S. Sjokvist ↔ A. Nouri
KFUM Oslo
🔄
68'
B. Kristensen ↔ B. Njie
KFUM Oslo
🔄
74'
H. Sjatil ↔ V. Hedenstad
Valerenga
🔄
74'
M. Westergaard ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
74'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ E. Sorensen
Valerenga
🔄
79'
↔ D. Hickson
KFUM Oslo
🔄
79'
M. Grodem ↔ R. E. Vinge
KFUM Oslo
🟨
82'
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Valerenga
🔄
85'
L. Haren ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🟨
90+8'
Ivan Näsberg
Valerenga
🟨
90+8'
Mathias Grundetjern
Valerenga
🟨
90+3'
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Valerenga

Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 72.1%
Draw 12.9%
KFUM Oslo Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.84
KFUM Oslo1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 13 matches
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 12 matches
Valerenga Statistic KFUM Oslo
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
24 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 22
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.83 Total Shots 12.67
7.17 Corners 4.17
43.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KFUM Oslo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and KFUM Oslo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KFUM Oslo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 12 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Lange (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), Lucas Haren (1 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (1 assists), K. Finnsson (1 assists), M. Westergaard (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 7 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Haltvik (3 goals), Hakon Helland Hoseth (1 goals), M. Grodem (1 goals), with creative support from J. Hjorth (2 assists), M. Vinjor (2 assists), T. Haltvik (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 2 times, KFUM Oslo won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Valerenga's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
Missing players: Valerenga 2, KFUM Oslo 7
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 2, draws 2, KFUM Oslo wins 0

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen