NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Intility Arena
Referee: E. Eskas
Valerenga
Match Timeline
KFUM Oslo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
H. Hoseth
Valerenga
33'
M. Grodem · Assist: M. Eikrem
KFUM Oslo
🟨
39'
Hakon Sjatil
Valerenga
🟨
45+2'
Sander Hansen Sjøkvist
KFUM Oslo
51'
L. Haren · Assist: H. Bjordal
Valerenga
55'
M. Eikrem · Assist: H. Hoseth
KFUM Oslo
🔄
61'
M. Eikrem ↔ M. Vinjor
KFUM Oslo
🟨
64'
Henrik Bjørdal
Valerenga
🔄
68'
S. Sjokvist ↔ A. Nouri
KFUM Oslo
🔄
68'
B. Kristensen ↔ B. Njie
KFUM Oslo
🔄
74'
H. Sjatil ↔ V. Hedenstad
Valerenga
🔄
74'
M. Westergaard ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
74'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ E. Sorensen
Valerenga
🔄
79'
↔ D. Hickson
KFUM Oslo
🔄
79'
M. Grodem ↔ R. E. Vinge
KFUM Oslo
🟨
82'
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Valerenga
🔄
85'
L. Haren ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🟨
90+8'
Ivan Näsberg
Valerenga
🟨
90+8'
Mathias Grundetjern
Valerenga
🟨
90+3'
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Valerenga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valerenga Win 72.1%
Draw 12.9%
KFUM Oslo Win 15%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valerenga1.84
KFUM Oslo1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valerenga Valerenga
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
6
4.67
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valerenga Valerenga 13 matches
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 12 matches
Valerenga Statistic KFUM Oslo
7 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
4 Losses 5
24 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 22
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.83 Total Shots 12.67
7.17 Corners 4.17
43.8% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KFUM Oslo. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and KFUM Oslo in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KFUM Oslo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 12 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Lange (2 goals), I. Nasberg (1 goals), Lucas Haren (1 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (1 assists), K. Finnsson (1 assists), M. Westergaard (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

KFUM Oslo Analysis

KFUM Oslo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 7 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 7:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Haltvik (3 goals), Hakon Helland Hoseth (1 goals), M. Grodem (1 goals), with creative support from J. Hjorth (2 assists), M. Vinjor (2 assists), T. Haltvik (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 2 times, KFUM Oslo won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Valerenga's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Valerenga 4-4-2 / KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
Missing players: Valerenga 2, KFUM Oslo 7
H2H summary: Valerenga wins 2, draws 2, KFUM Oslo wins 0
Stats
Valerenga Valerenga
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
11 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
440 Total passes 459
357 Passes accurate 383
1.20 expected_goals 1.32
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Valerenga
Formation
KFUM Oslo
O. Hedvall
O. Hedvall
H. Sjatil
H. Sjatil
A. Olsen
A. Olsen
I. Nasberg
I. Nasberg
K. Finnsson
K. Finnsson
L. Haren
L. Haren
M. Westergaard
M. Westergaard
C. Lange
C. Lange
F. Thorvaldsen
F. Thorvaldsen
H. Bjordal
🎯
H. Bjordal
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern
E. Odegaard
E. Odegaard
D. Schneider
D. Schneider
F. Berglie
F. Berglie
E. Saunes
E. Saunes
H. Hoseth
🎯
H. Hoseth
R. Rasch
R. Rasch
S. Hestnes
S. Hestnes
S. Sjokvist
S. Sjokvist
B. Kristensen
B. Kristensen
M. Eikrem
🎯
M. Eikrem
M. Grodem
M. Grodem
Valerenga 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
O. Hedvall
G
3
H. Sjatil
↓ 74' 🟨 39'
D
4
A. Olsen
D
37
I. Nasberg
🟨 90+8'
D
2
K. Finnsson
🟨 82'
D
77
L. Haren
⚽ 51' ↓ 85'
M
28
M. Westergaard
↓ 74'
M
10
C. Lange
M
26
F. Thorvaldsen
↓ 74'
M
8
H. Bjordal
🎯 51' 🟨 64'
F
17
M. Grundetjern
🟨 90+8'
F
Substitutes
21
M. Sjoeng
G
6
V. Hedenstad
↑ 74' 🟨 90+3'
D
29
F. Ambina
↑ 74'
M
9
G. Rajkovic
F
24
P. Strand
↑ 85'
M
11
E. Sorensen
↑ 74'
F
55
S. Jarl
D
5
K. Tshiembe
D
15
O. T. Holm
M
KFUM Oslo 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
E. Odegaard
G
2
D. Schneider
D
5
F. Berglie
D
19
E. Saunes
D
14
H. Hoseth
⚽ 2' 🎯 55'
M
7
R. Rasch
M
8
S. Hestnes
M
21
S. Sjokvist
↓ 68' 🟨 45+2'
M
22
B. Kristensen
↓ 68'
F
23
M. Eikrem
⚽ 55' 🎯 33' ↓ 61'
F
28
M. Grodem
⚽ 33' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
K. Bakowski
G
33
A. Nouri
↑ 68'
D
9
M. Vinjor
↑ 61'
M
10
B. Njie
↑ 68'
F
13
B. Skaret
D
42
D. Hickson
↑ 79'
F
4
M. Njie
D
18
R. E. Vinge
↑ 79'
F
30
M. Vuckovic
M
Last matches: Valerenga
08.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
26.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Brann
3
2
W
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Tromso
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
18.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Start
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
08.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Molde
1
5
L
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
12.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
22.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Rosenborg
2
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
Last matches: KFUM Oslo
07.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
26.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Molde
2
4
L
18.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
12.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Vendsyssel FF
0
2
L
21.06.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Molde
1
5
L
29.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Tromso
0
0
D
25.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Rosenborg
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Brann
1
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Viking
0
2
L
26.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
19.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
12.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
2
L
22.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
1
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Start
2
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Stromsgodset
3
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
H2H: Valerenga vs KFUM Oslo
03.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
21.02.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
26.05.25
H2H
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
0
1
W
17.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
Last matches: Valerenga
08.08.26
Eli
Valerenga
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
31.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
0
3
L
16.07.26
Eli
Valerenga
Aalesund
6
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Valerenga
Gais
1
2
L
29.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Lillestrom
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Valerenga
Viking
0
1
L
27.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
3
3
D
15.03.26
Eli
Valerenga
Sandefjord
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
21.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Valerenga
Sandefjord
5
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
4
0
W
H2H at home: Valerenga
03.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
21.02.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
17.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
Last matches: KFUM Oslo
07.08.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Sandefjord
1
0
W
18.07.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Vendsyssel FF
0
2
L
21.06.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Molde
1
5
L
16.05.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Brann
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
12.04.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
1
3
L
21.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
KFUM Oslo
Lillestrom
2
7
L
H2H away: KFUM Oslo
03.05.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
21.02.26
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
17.04.21
H2H
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 16 13 1 2 39:15 24 40
W W D W W
3 16 10 4 2 32:17 15 34
W W W D D
4 16 8 1 7 22:20 2 25
L L L W W
5 16 7 3 6 29:24 5 24
L D W L D
6 16 7 1 8 33:27 6 22
W L W W L
7 16 6 4 6 19:21 -2 22
L D W D W
8 16 6 4 6 24:27 -3 22
D W L L L
9 16 6 3 7 23:21 2 21
W L W W W
10 16 6 2 8 23:29 -6 20
L L W W L
11 16 6 2 8 17:27 -10 20
W W L L L
12 16 5 3 8 18:26 -8 18
W W L L L
13 16 4 3 9 13:22 -9 15
L L L L D
14 16 4 3 9 15:26 -11 15
W L L D L
15 16 2 8 6 22:36 -14 14
D L D L D
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Valerenga 2 missing
-
M. Ofkir
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Saeter
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
KFUM Oslo 7 missing
-
A. Aleesami
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Njie
Questionable Lacking Match Fitness
OUT
-
M. Sinyan
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
T. Soras
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
T. Haltvik
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
J. Hjorth
Questionable Foot Injury
OUT
-
H. Jenssen
Questionable Injury
OUT