FRANCE LIGUE 3
26.09.2026 18:45
Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valenciennes Win 48.9%
Draw 21.2%
Le Puy Foot Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valenciennes1.44
Le Puy Foot1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot
WLDWL
12 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
7
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valenciennes Valenciennes 13 matches
Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 10 matches
Valenciennes Statistic Le Puy Foot
4 Wins 3
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 4
20 Goals For 12
17 Goals Against 13
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
7 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Le Puy Foot. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Le Puy Foot having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Le Puy Foot arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Valenciennes Analysis

With 5 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Valenciennes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Le Puy Foot Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 13, Le Puy Foot still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes won 1 times, Le Puy Foot won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Valenciennes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
H2H summary: Valenciennes wins 1, draws 0, Le Puy Foot wins 1

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 13:2 11 17
W W D W W
2 7 4 3 0 10:6 4 15
W D D W D
3 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
W W D D W
4 7 3 3 1 13:11 2 12
D L D D W
5 7 4 0 3 12:7 5 12
L W W L W
6 7 3 2 2 8:2 6 11
W D W W L
7 7 2 5 0 8:3 5 11
D D W W D
8 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
D W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:9 -3 10
D W L W L
11 7 2 3 2 5:7 -2 9
D L D D W
12 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
D W D W L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
D W W L L
14 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L D L W
15 7 1 2 4 7:12 -5 5
L L D D L
16 7 1 1 5 3:8 -5 4
L L D W L
17 7 1 1 5 4:12 -8 4
D L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation