FRANCE NATIONAL 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade du Hainaut
Valenciennes
Match Timeline
Dijon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
62'
J. Domingues · Assist: I. Diallo
Dijon
🔄
64'
H. Vargas-Rios ↔ B. Ndezi
Dijon
🔄
64'
J. Domingues ↔ A. Ntamack
Dijon
🔄
66'
T. Marechal ↔ R. Boissier
Valenciennes
🔄
74'
D. Diomande ↔ N. Bourichon
Valenciennes
🔄
74'
D. Abu ↔ A. Ipiele
Valenciennes
🟨
75'
M. Barreto
Dijon
🔄
82'
S. Belloumou ↔ B. Osman
Valenciennes
🔄
82'
A. Koum Mbondo ↔ C. Nyemb
Valenciennes
🔄
84'
L. Lacroix ↔ C. Obongo
Dijon
🔄
84'
M. Barreto ↔ Y. Barka
Dijon
🔄
90'
S. Chouchane ↔ Y. Aka
Dijon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 68%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
68%
-
Probability Distribution
Valenciennes Win 29.7%
Draw 0%
Dijon Win 70.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valenciennes1
Dijon1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valenciennes Valenciennes
WWDLW
32 GF / 36 GA
Dijon Dijon
WLDWL
45 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
16
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valenciennes Valenciennes 27 matches
Dijon Dijon 28 matches
Valenciennes Statistic Dijon
10 Wins 15
6 Draws 11
11 Losses 2
32 Goals For 45
36 Goals Against 20
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
16 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Dijon's more proactive style and Valenciennes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dijon. Dijon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 56 points while Valenciennes sit 10 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dijon having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Valenciennes Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Valenciennes have collected 35 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, while the 32:37 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Courtet (5 goals), A. Ipiele (3 goals), B. Passi (3 goals), with creative support from D. Diomande (5 assists), T. Marechal (3 assists), A. Ipiele (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dijon Analysis

Dijon come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 56 points after 28 matches. With 15 wins, 11 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Domingues (10 goals), Y. Barka (10 goals), B. Hamada (4 goals), with creative support from J. Marie (4 assists), A. Ntamack (3 assists), M. Barreto (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Valenciennes won 4 times, Dijon won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Valenciennes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Valenciennes wins 4, draws 3, Dijon wins 8

Lineups

Valenciennes
Formation
Dijon
J. Louchet
J. Louchet
D. Abu
D. Abu
S. Niakate
S. Niakate
A. Coeff
A. Coeff
A. Koum Mbondo
A. Koum Mbondo
S. Belloumou
S. Belloumou
T. Marechal
T. Marechal
D. Diomande
D. Diomande
M. Rouai
M. Rouai
S. Appuah
S. Appuah
C. Abi
C. Abi
L. Montfort
L. Montfort
L. Lacroix
L. Lacroix
W. Diouf
W. Diouf
Q. Bernard
Q. Bernard
I. Diallo
🎯
I. Diallo
S. Chouchane
S. Chouchane
J. Marie
J. Marie
H. Vargas-Rios
H. Vargas-Rios
M. Barreto
M. Barreto
J. Tavares
J. Tavares
J. Domingues
J. Domingues
Valenciennes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
J. Louchet
2
D. Abu
↓ 74'
32
S. Niakate
29
A. Coeff
20
A. Koum Mbondo
↓ 82'
25
S. Belloumou
↓ 82'
33
T. Marechal
↓ 66'
26
D. Diomande
↓ 74'
8
M. Rouai
11
S. Appuah
7
C. Abi
Substitutes
36
N. Bourichon
↑ 74'
22
R. Boissier
↑ 66'
31
B. Osman
↑ 82'
10
A. Ipiele
↑ 74'
35
C. Nyemb
↑ 82'
Dijon 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Montfort
23
L. Lacroix
↓ 84'
6
W. Diouf
5
Q. Bernard
2
I. Diallo
🎯 62'
21
S. Chouchane
↓ 90'
14
J. Marie
20
H. Vargas-Rios
↓ 64'
4
M. Barreto
↓ 84' 🟨 75'
11
J. Tavares
22
J. Domingues
⚽ 62' ↓ 64'
Substitutes
36
Y. Aka
↑ 90'
18
B. Ndezi
↑ 64'
19
C. Obongo
↑ 84'
10
Y. Barka
↑ 84'
29
A. Ntamack
↑ 64'
Last matches: Valenciennes
15.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
09.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0
1
L
02.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Sochaux
1
1
D
17.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
3
L
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
20.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
20.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
1
D
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
06.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
23.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
0
3
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Francs Borains
3
3
D
06.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Olympic Charleroi
3
0
W
05.12.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
4
L
21.11.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
Last matches: Dijon
15.05.26
Nat
Dijon
Orleans
3
2
W
09.05.26
Nat
Dijon
Le Puy Foot
2
1
W
30.04.26
Nat
Dijon
Chateauroux
1
2
L
17.04.26
Nat
Dijon
Sochaux
0
0
D
10.04.26
Nat
Dijon
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Dijon
Fleury 91
1
3
L
27.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Versailles
3
1
W
19.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Quevilly
1
0
W
13.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Aubagne
2
1
W
06.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Concarneau
1
1
D
20.02.26
Nat
Dijon
Villefranche
2
1
W
13.02.26
Nat
Dijon
Caen
3
3
D
06.02.26
Nat
Dijon
Gobelins
4
1
W
30.01.26
Nat
Dijon
Stade Briochin
0
0
D
24.01.26
Nat
Dijon
Rouen
0
0
D
16.01.26
Nat
Dijon
Le Puy Foot
2
0
W
12.12.25
Nat
Dijon
Chateauroux
0
0
D
05.12.25
Nat
Dijon
Valenciennes
4
1
W
21.11.25
Nat
Dijon
Sochaux
1
0
W
07.11.25
Nat
Dijon
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
1
W
H2H: Valenciennes vs Dijon
24.04.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
05.12.25
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
4
1
L
21.03.25
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
2
1
L
23.10.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
2
D
13.01.23
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
2
1
L
12.03.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
0
D
24.09.21
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
0
1
W
05.01.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
2
L
02.02.16
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
1
0
L
12.09.15
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
3
L
20.03.15
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
1
1
D
20.10.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
3
L
04.02.12
H2H
Dijon
Valenciennes
1
2
W
17.09.11
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
4
0
W
Last matches: Valenciennes
15.05.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Chateauroux
2
2
D
10.04.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Versailles
1
0
W
27.03.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Aubagne
0
0
D
28.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Caen
2
1
W
13.02.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Stade Briochin
1
2
L
31.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Orleans
0
1
L
16.01.26
Nat
Valenciennes
Bourg-en-bresse 01
3
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Francs Borains
3
3
D
06.01.26
Fri
Valenciennes
Olympic Charleroi
3
0
W
21.11.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Fleury 91
0
2
L
31.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Quevilly
2
0
W
17.10.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Concarneau
1
2
L
26.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Villefranche
2
0
W
12.09.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Gobelins
1
0
W
29.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Rouen
2
3
L
15.08.25
Nat
Valenciennes
Le Puy Foot
2
1
W
H2H at home: Valenciennes
24.04.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
L
23.10.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
0
W
25.02.23
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
2
D
12.03.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
0
D
05.01.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
2
L
12.09.15
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
3
L
20.10.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
3
L
17.09.11
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
4
0
W
Last matches: Dijon
09.05.26
Nat
Dijon
Le Puy Foot
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Dijon
Fleury 91
1
3
L
19.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Quevilly
1
0
W
06.03.26
Nat
Dijon
Concarneau
1
1
D
20.02.26
Nat
Dijon
Villefranche
2
1
W
06.02.26
Nat
Dijon
Gobelins
4
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Dijon
Rouen
0
0
D
12.12.25
Nat
Dijon
Chateauroux
0
0
D
21.11.25
Nat
Dijon
Sochaux
1
0
W
07.11.25
Nat
Dijon
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
1
W
21.10.25
Nat
Dijon
Versailles
2
0
W
03.10.25
Nat
Dijon
Aubagne
1
1
D
05.09.25
Nat
Dijon
Caen
0
0
D
22.08.25
Nat
Dijon
Stade Briochin
0
0
D
08.08.25
Nat
Dijon
Orleans
2
1
W
29.10.19
Cou
Dijon
Bordeaux
0
2
L
H2H away: Dijon
24.04.26
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
1
W
23.10.24
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
0
L
25.02.23
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
2
2
D
12.03.22
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
0
D
05.01.20
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
2
W
12.09.15
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
1
3
W
20.10.14
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
0
3
W
17.09.11
H2H
Valenciennes
Dijon
4
0
L

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Dijon Away
32 18 11 3 52:25 27 65
W W L W D
2 32 16 10 6 51:26 25 58
D L D W D
3 32 14 13 5 43:29 14 55
W L D W D
4 32 15 9 8 47:30 17 54
L L W W W
5 32 15 8 9 46:34 12 53
D W D D W
6 32 14 9 9 42:42 0 51
L W D L W
7 32 12 11 9 45:38 7 47
D L L D D
8 32 8 16 8 39:34 5 40
L D W W W
9 32 8 14 10 32:37 -5 38
D D D W D
10 32 10 8 14 35:44 -9 37
D L D L L
11 32 9 10 13 38:46 -8 37
W D L L L
12 32 10 7 15 34:45 -11 37
D L L W D
13 32 8 9 15 34:45 -11 33
W L D W D
14 32 7 11 14 26:41 -15 32
L D D L L
15 32 8 7 17 25:44 -19 31
W W L L L
16 32 6 13 13 35:49 -14 30
D W W L L
17 32 5 12 15 35:50 -15 27
D W W L D
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