MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Prince Moulay Hassan
Referee: Y. Triki
UTS Rabat
Match Timeline
Difaa EL Jadida
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
51'
Y. Dahmani · Assist: H. Essadak
UTS Rabat
🔄
60'
W. Rhailouf ↔ M. Essahel
UTS Rabat
🔄
60'
M. Hilali ↔ A. Ennakouss
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
60'
I. Sabik ↔ R. Da Costa
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
61'
Y. Bammou ↔ S. Tebily
UTS Rabat
67'
A. Ennakouss
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
71'
S. Lotfi ↔ Y. Zraa
UTS Rabat
🔄
71'
H. Essadak ↔ K. Konan
UTS Rabat
🟨
81'
M. Essahel
UTS Rabat
🔄
82'
A. Idrissi ↔ M. Mouchtanim
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
82'
A. Ziani ↔ Y. Michte
Difaa EL Jadida
🔄
84'
Y. Akharraz ↔ M. Es Sahel
UTS Rabat
🔄
84'
O. Benchchaoui ↔ Z. Oubraim
Difaa EL Jadida
VAR
85'
Y. Dahmani
UTS Rabat
🟨
86'
Y. Dahmani
UTS Rabat
🟨
90'
B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
Difaa EL Jadida
90'
A. Ennakouss · Assist: M. Mouchtanim
Difaa EL Jadida

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UTS Rabat Win 44.6%
Draw 15.1%
Difaa EL Jadida Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTS Rabat1.02
Difaa EL Jadida1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTS Rabat UTS Rabat
WWDLW
26 GF / 35 GA
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
16
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 26 matches
Difaa EL Jadida Difaa EL Jadida 26 matches
UTS Rabat Statistic Difaa EL Jadida
4 Wins 8
12 Draws 11
10 Losses 7
26 Goals For 24
35 Goals Against 27
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
16 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Difaa EL Jadida. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTS Rabat expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Difaa EL Jadida in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Difaa EL Jadida having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

UTS Rabat Analysis

So far, UTS Rabat have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 24 points from 25 matches. The record of 4 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 26:34 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Dahmani (9 goals), M. Ashabi (3 goals), N. Moustaghfir (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Dahmani (2 assists), N. Moustaghfir (2 assists), R. Ait Lamkadem (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Difaa EL Jadida Analysis

Difaa EL Jadida sit 8 with 32 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Ziani (6 goals), M. Mouchtanim (3 goals), R. Da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from B. El Idrissi Bouzidi (3 assists), A. Ziani (2 assists), Khalid Baba (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, UTS Rabat won 1 times, Difaa EL Jadida won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from UTS Rabat's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: UTS Rabat 4-2-3-1 / Difaa EL Jadida 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: UTS Rabat wins 1, draws 1, Difaa EL Jadida wins 4

Lineups

UTS Rabat
Formation
Difaa EL Jadida
H. Bouelainine
H. Bouelainine
Y. Akharraz
Y. Akharraz
M. Ashabi
M. Ashabi
T. El Khalej
T. El Khalej
R. Ait Lamkadem
R. Ait Lamkadem
H. Regragui
H. Regragui
H. Essadak
🎯
H. Essadak
S. Lotfi
S. Lotfi
W. Rhailouf
W. Rhailouf
Y. Dahmani
Y. Dahmani
Y. Bammou
Y. Bammou
B. Niasse
B. Niasse
O. Benchchaoui
O. Benchchaoui
A. Sanogo
A. Sanogo
M. Bentarcha
M. Bentarcha
H. Malki
H. Malki
S. Abaaziz
S. Abaaziz
I. Sabik
I. Sabik
M. Hilali
M. Hilali
B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
A. Ziani
A. Ziani
A. Idrissi
A. Idrissi
UTS Rabat 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
36
H. Bouelainine
2
Y. Akharraz
↓ 84'
41
M. Ashabi
4
T. El Khalej
33
R. Ait Lamkadem
15
H. Regragui
8
H. Essadak
🎯 51' ↓ 71'
70
S. Lotfi
↓ 71'
31
W. Rhailouf
↓ 60'
7
Y. Dahmani
⚽ 51' 🟨 86'
9
Y. Bammou
↓ 61'
Substitutes
1
R. Asmama
3
A. Nanah
10
M. Essahel
↑ 60' 🟨 81'
13
Y. Kajai
30
M. Es Sahel
↑ 84'
39
Y. Zraa
↑ 71'
45
K. Konan
↑ 71'
58
I. Douieb
59
S. Tebily
↑ 61'
Difaa EL Jadida 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
B. Niasse
2
O. Benchchaoui
↓ 84'
5
A. Sanogo
14
M. Bentarcha
3
H. Malki
23
S. Abaaziz
7
I. Sabik
↓ 60'
21
M. Hilali
↓ 60'
6
B. El Idrissi Bouzidi
🟨 90'
77
A. Ziani
↓ 82'
99
A. Idrissi
↓ 82'
Substitutes
16
A. Ait Wahmane
13
A. Riyane
24
Z. Oubraim
↑ 84'
10
M. Mouchtanim
🎯 90' ↑ 82'
12
A. Mostakime
19
H. Jamaane
88
Y. Michte
↑ 82'
17
A. Ennakouss
⚽ 67' ⚽ 90' ↑ 60'
80
R. Da Costa
↑ 60'
Last matches: UTS Rabat
21.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
El Massira
3
0
W
17.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
El Massira
1
1
D
05.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Wydad AC
2
1
W
02.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Ittihad Tanger
1
0
W
28.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
FAR Rabat
2
2
D
21.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Hassania Agadir
0
1
L
17.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
CODM Meknès
2
0
W
14.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Raja Casablanca
1
1
D
09.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
CR Khemis Zemamra
1
0
W
01.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Kawkab Marrakech
0
0
D
23.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Yacoub El Mansour
2
1
W
10.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Maghreb Fès
0
1
L
07.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Renaissance Berkane
3
4
L
03.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
FUS Rabat
0
2
L
30.04.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Olympique Dcheïra
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Olympique Safi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Wydad AC
3
4
L
28.02.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Ittihad Tanger
1
1
D
21.02.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
FAR Rabat
1
1
D
14.02.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
0
1
L
Last matches: Difaa EL Jadida
05.07.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Renaissance Berkane
1
3
L
02.07.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Yacoub El Mansour
2
2
D
28.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Kawkab Marrakech
1
1
D
21.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Wydad AC
1
0
W
17.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Maghreb Fès
1
2
L
12.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Olympique Dcheïra
2
2
D
08.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
FUS Rabat
0
0
D
04.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
FAR Rabat
1
2
L
23.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Olympique Safi
1
1
D
10.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Ittihad Tanger
1
1
D
07.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Hassania Agadir
2
2
D
03.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Raja Casablanca
0
1
L
30.04.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
CR Khemis Zemamra
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
CODM Meknès
1
0
W
06.04.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Wydad AC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Renaissance Berkane
1
2
L
28.02.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Yacoub El Mansour
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Kawkab Marrakech
0
0
D
14.02.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
UTS Rabat
1
0
W
31.01.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Maghreb Fès
0
0
D
H2H: UTS Rabat vs Difaa EL Jadida
25.06.26
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
1
2
L
14.02.26
H2H
Difaa EL Jadida
UTS Rabat
1
0
L
27.02.25
H2H
Difaa EL Jadida
UTS Rabat
1
0
L
26.10.24
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
1
W
02.09.22
H2H
Difaa EL Jadida
UTS Rabat
1
0
L
Last matches: UTS Rabat
21.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
El Massira
3
0
W
02.07.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Ittihad Tanger
1
0
W
17.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
CODM Meknès
2
0
W
01.06.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Kawkab Marrakech
0
0
D
10.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Maghreb Fès
0
1
L
03.05.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
FUS Rabat
0
2
L
25.04.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Olympique Safi
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Wydad AC
3
4
L
21.02.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
FAR Rabat
1
1
D
07.02.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Hassania Agadir
0
2
L
25.01.26
Bot
UTS Rabat
Raja Casablanca
1
1
D
08.11.25
Bot
UTS Rabat
CR Khemis Zemamra
1
2
L
26.10.25
Bot
UTS Rabat
Yacoub El Mansour
1
1
D
05.10.25
Bot
UTS Rabat
Renaissance Berkane
2
2
D
21.09.25
Bot
UTS Rabat
Olympique Dcheïra
1
1
D
H2H at home: UTS Rabat
25.06.26
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
1
2
L
26.10.24
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
1
W
Last matches: Difaa EL Jadida
02.07.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Yacoub El Mansour
2
2
D
17.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Maghreb Fès
1
2
L
08.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
FUS Rabat
0
0
D
04.06.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
FAR Rabat
1
2
L
10.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Ittihad Tanger
1
1
D
03.05.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Raja Casablanca
0
1
L
25.04.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
CODM Meknès
1
0
W
06.04.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Wydad AC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Renaissance Berkane
1
2
L
21.02.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Kawkab Marrakech
0
0
D
24.01.26
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Olympique Dcheïra
1
0
W
05.11.25
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Olympique Safi
2
1
W
05.10.25
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
Hassania Agadir
1
2
L
21.09.25
Bot
Difaa EL Jadida
CR Khemis Zemamra
0
0
D
H2H away: Difaa EL Jadida
25.06.26
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
1
2
W
26.10.24
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
2
D
29.01.23
H2H
UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida
2
1
L

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation