NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
17.05.2026 12:30
Stadion Galgenwaard
Referee: I. Oostrom
Utrecht
Match Timeline
Fortuna Sittard
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
D. de Wit · Assist: G. Zechiel
Utrecht
🔄
46'
D. Limnios ↔ M. Ihattaren
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
46'
J. Hubner ↔ I. Pinto
Fortuna Sittard
🟨
55'
Yassin Oukili
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
63'
S. Haller ↔ D. Min
Utrecht
🔄
64'
M. Eerdhuijzen ↔ N. Viergever
Utrecht
🔄
64'
J. Karlsson ↔ A. Blake
Utrecht
65'
D. Min · Assist: G. Zechiel
Utrecht
🔄
72'
N. Vesterlund ↔ S. Horemans
Utrecht
🔄
79'
K. Sierhuis ↔ A. Halilovic
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
79'
P. Brittijn ↔ T. Schenkhuizen
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
79'
Y. Oukili ↔ M. Gbemou
Fortuna Sittard
🔄
82'
D. de Wit ↔ R. El Arguioui
Utrecht

Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Utrecht Win 75.8%
Draw 0%
Fortuna Sittard Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Utrecht1.66
Fortuna Sittard1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Utrecht Utrecht
WWDLW
72 GF / 61 GA
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
WLDWL
49 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
28
BTTS Yes
26
24
Over 2.5
23
4.57
Shots on Goal
4.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Utrecht Utrecht 47 matches
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 matches
Utrecht Statistic Fortuna Sittard
19 Wins 11
10 Draws 6
18 Losses 16
72 Goals For 49
61 Goals Against 61
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
28 BTTS Yes 26
38 Over 1.5 29
24 Over 2.5 23
15 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 3
11 Failed To Score 4
4.57 Shots On Goal 4.52
12.64 Total Shots 12.67
4.47 Corners 4.3
42.2% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Utrecht's more proactive style and Fortuna Sittard's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortuna Sittard. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Fortuna Sittard arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Utrecht Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Utrecht have collected 50 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 53:42 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Zechiel (8 goals), D. de Wit (6 goals), V. Jensen (5 goals), with creative support from Souffian El Karouani (11 assists), G. Zechiel (5 assists), Y. Cathline (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Fortuna Sittard Analysis

Fortuna Sittard approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 39 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats with a 49:61 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kaj Sierhuis (12 goals), M. Ihattaren (6 goals), P. Gladon (5 goals), with creative support from M. Ihattaren (10 assists), D. Limnios (6 assists), I. Pinto (5 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht won 5 times, Fortuna Sittard won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Utrecht's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Utrecht 4-2-3-1 / Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Utrecht 10, Fortuna Sittard 8
H2H summary: Utrecht wins 5, draws 5, Fortuna Sittard wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie