Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
73.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
20 matches
UCV Moquegua
19 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 24 | Goals For | 19 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.61 |
| 12.06 | Total Shots | 10.39 |
| 4.56 | Corners | 3.39 |
| 50.8% | Ball Possession | 39.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UCV Moquegua. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
With 18 points from 17 games and a place of 13, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 21:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), Marcos Lliuya (1 goals), Adolfo Muñoz (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 17:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Edgar Lastre (5 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Yorman Zapata (2 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 1 times, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
UTC Cajamarca
5
4
8
6
1
2
Lineups
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 52 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 45 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:37 | -3 | 41 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 37 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | -4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
Away
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 24 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27:42 | -15 | 15 |
L
L
L
D
L
|