PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: R. B. Perez
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
UCV Moquegua
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
A. Figuera
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
43'
Y. Zapata
UCV Moquegua
🔄
46'
A. Lecaros ↔ K. Ruiz
UCV Moquegua
🔄
57'
J. Cantt ↔ D. Dioses
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
57'
A. Arroyo ↔ L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
63'
A. Davila ↔ C. Ramirez
UCV Moquegua
🔄
72'
A. Munoz ↔ M. de Jesus
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
C. Mejia ↔ N. Chavez
UCV Moquegua
🔄
72'
J. Collazos ↔ Bryan Angulo
UCV Moquegua
🟨
73'
L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
86'
D. Camacho ↔ S. Galvez
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
86'
D. Caro ↔ J. Huerto
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
88'
J. Huerto
UTC Cajamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 39.6%
Draw 34%
UCV Moquegua Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.31
UCV Moquegua1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
24 GF / 30 GA
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
12
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
12
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 20 matches
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 19 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic UCV Moquegua
5 Wins 5
7 Draws 4
8 Losses 10
24 Goals For 19
30 Goals Against 28
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.61
12.06 Total Shots 10.39
4.56 Corners 3.39
50.8% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UCV Moquegua. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

With 18 points from 17 games and a place of 13, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 21:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), Marcos Lliuya (1 goals), Adolfo Muñoz (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

UCV Moquegua Analysis

UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 17 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 17:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Edgar Lastre (5 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Yorman Zapata (2 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 1 times, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.7%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-2-3-1 / UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 1, draws 1, UCV Moquegua wins 0
Stats
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 2
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
620 Total passes 278
552 Passes accurate 194
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

UTC Cajamarca
Formation
UCV Moquegua
Ignacio Barrios
Ignacio Barrios
Gilmar Paredes
Gilmar Paredes
Manuel Ganoza
Manuel Ganoza
Bruno Duarte
Bruno Duarte
Dylan Caro
Dylan Caro
Arquímedes Figuera
Arquímedes Figuera
Abdiel Arroyo
Abdiel Arroyo
Joshua Cantt
Joshua Cantt
Marcos Lliuya
Marcos Lliuya
Adolfo Muñoz
Adolfo Muñoz
David Camacho
David Camacho
Carlos Grados
Carlos Grados
Eros Montenegro
Eros Montenegro
Juan Diego Lojas
Juan Diego Lojas
Cristian Enciso
Cristian Enciso
Aldair Perleche
Aldair Perleche
Allonso Davila
Allonso Davila
Ricardo Chipao
Ricardo Chipao
Cristian Mejia
Cristian Mejia
Alexander Lecaros
Alexander Lecaros
Yorman Zapata
Yorman Zapata
Jeferson Collazos
Jeferson Collazos
UTC Cajamarca 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
29
Ignacio Barrios
G
35
Gilmar Paredes
D
3
Manuel Ganoza
D
2
Bruno Duarte
D
13
Dylan Caro
↓ 86'
D
16
Arquímedes Figuera
🟨 32'
M
11
Abdiel Arroyo
↓ 57'
M
15
Joshua Cantt
↓ 57'
M
10
Marcos Lliuya
M
19
Adolfo Muñoz
↓ 72'
M
22
David Camacho
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
8
David Dioses
↑ 57'
M
88
Luis Arce
↑ 57' 🟨 73'
M
9
Marlon de Jesús
↑ 72'
F
5
Carlos Junior Huerto
↑ 86' 🟨 88'
D
18
Santiago Gálvez
↑ 86'
F
21
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
6
Francesco Cavagna
D
7
Jhosep Nuñez
F
UCV Moquegua 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
Carlos Grados
G
22
Eros Montenegro
D
13
Juan Diego Lojas
D
3
Cristian Enciso
D
4
Aldair Perleche
D
16
Allonso Davila
↓ 63'
M
25
Ricardo Chipao
M
8
Cristian Mejia
↓ 72'
M
24
Alexander Lecaros
↓ 46'
M
17
Yorman Zapata
🟨 43'
F
90
Jeferson Collazos
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
77
Kevin Ruiz
↑ 46'
M
14
Claudio Ramírez
M
10
Nicolas Chavez
M
11
Bryan Angulo
↑ 72'
F
29
Renzo Figueroa
G
30
Jose Granda
D
6
Jimmy Jiménez
D
88
Róger Torres
M
20
Diego Ramírez
M
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
29.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
2
4
L
22.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
16.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
4
L
18.07.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
2
3
L
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
22.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
0
W
16.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
ADT
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
1
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
3
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
H2H: UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua
26.07.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
06.02.26
H2H
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
2
3
W
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
29.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
2
4
L
22.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
H2H at home: UTC Cajamarca
26.07.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
22.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
20.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
02.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
H2H away: UCV Moquegua
26.07.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 23 11 6 6 40:27 13 39
D W L D W
6 23 11 4 8 38:33 5 37
L D L W L
7 23 11 3 9 34:35 -1 36
L W L W L
8 23 8 7 8 30:28 2 31
W D W L W
9 23 8 7 8 25:23 2 31
W D D W W
10 23 8 5 10 38:37 1 29
L W D W L
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
13 23 7 5 11 19:23 -4 26
W W D L L
14 23 6 7 10 22:29 -7 25
W D L D D
15 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
16 23 6 5 12 28:40 -12 23
L L D W W
17 23 5 7 11 26:33 -7 22
L D D L L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2