WORLD WORLD CUP
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SoFi Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 36.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
36.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
82.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 2-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
USA Win 30.6%
Draw 36.3%
Paraguay Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.17
Paraguay2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
6 GF / 11 GA
Paraguay Paraguay
WLDWL
6 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
2.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 4 matches
Paraguay Paraguay 3 matches
USA Statistic Paraguay
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
6 Goals For 6
11 Goals Against 2
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
3 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.33
12 Total Shots 3.67
5 Corners 1
47% Ball Possession 12.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, USA won 3 times, Paraguay won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from USA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69.4%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-2-3-1 / Paraguay 4-3-3
H2H summary: USA wins 3, draws 0, Paraguay wins 0
Last matches: USA
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Paraguay
05.06.26
Fri
Paraguay
Nicaragua
4
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Morocco
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Greece
1
0
W
H2H: USA vs Paraguay
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
Last matches: USA
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
W
Last matches: Paraguay
31.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Morocco
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Paraguay
Greece
1
0
W
H2H away: Paraguay
15.11.25
H2H
USA
Paraguay
2
1
L
27.03.18
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
L
11.06.16
H2H
USA
Paraguay
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1
USA Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?