Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Uruguay Montevideo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uruguay Montevideo1.22
Progreso0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uruguay Montevideo
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
16 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
13
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Uruguay Montevideo
21 matches
Progreso
21 matches
| Uruguay Montevideo | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 28 | Goals For | 16 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 times, Progreso won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Uruguay Montevideo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Uruguay Montevideo - / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Uruguay Montevideo wins 3, draws 0, Progreso wins 2
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
22.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
0
3
L
15.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Paysandu
1
0
W
01.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
3
1
W
18.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
05.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
3
2
W
21.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
0
1
L
13.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Miramar
1
3
L
07.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
1
L
30.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
2
2
D
08.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
2
0
W
06.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
H2H: Uruguay Montevideo vs Progreso
03.12.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
3
L
29.07.23
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
1
2
W
05.03.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
L
24.08.22
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
28.05.22
H2H
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
W
Last matches: Uruguay Montevideo
15.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
08.08.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Paysandu
1
0
W
18.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
CA River Plate
1
1
D
12.07.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
3
2
W
13.06.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Miramar
1
3
L
30.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Plaza Colonia
2
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
15.03.26
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
1
1
D
25.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
11.10.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
La Luz
0
0
D
27.09.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Colón
0
1
L
14.09.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Oriental
0
4
L
07.09.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Artigas
1
4
L
24.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Fenix
0
1
L
16.08.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Atenas
1
2
L
26.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Rentistas
1
3
L
12.07.25
Seg
Uruguay Montevideo
Cerrito
0
0
D
H2H at home: Uruguay Montevideo
03.12.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
3
L
05.03.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
L
24.08.22
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
23.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
L
H2H away: Progreso
03.12.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
3
W
05.03.23
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
0
1
W
24.08.22
H2H
Uruguay Montevideo
Progreso
1
0
L