JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
19.09.2026 09:30
Saitama Stadium

Urawa vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.1%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Urawa Win 49.1%
Draw 16.5%
Tokyo Verdy Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Urawa1.63
Tokyo Verdy1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Urawa Urawa
WWDLW
13 GF / 17 GA
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WLDWL
3 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
0.43
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
1
4.14
Shots on Goal
2.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Urawa Urawa 7 matches
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 7 matches
Urawa Statistic Tokyo Verdy
3 Wins 0
0 Draws 4
4 Losses 3
13 Goals For 3
17 Goals Against 9
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.43
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
6 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 1
5 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 4
4.14 Shots On Goal 2.43
15 Total Shots 10.43
3.86 Corners 4
51.3% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tokyo Verdy. Tokyo Verdy arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Urawa expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tokyo Verdy in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tokyo Verdy having the stronger overall control. Urawa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 9 points compared to Tokyo Verdy in 19 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Urawa Analysis

Urawa sit 12 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, while the 12:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Kaneko (1 goals), R. Watanabe (1 goals), H. Komori (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kaneko (4 assists), R. Watanabe (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 3 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 2:8 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Mizoguchi (1 goals), with creative support from I. Someno (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Urawa won 3 times, Tokyo Verdy won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Urawa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.5%)
Predicted formations: Urawa 4-1-4-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Urawa wins 3, draws 3, Tokyo Verdy wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12
Urawa Home
7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League