ROMANIA › LIGA I
17.05.2026 17:30
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Referee: M. Birsan
Universitatea Craiova
Match Timeline
Universitatea Cluj
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
D. Matei · Assist: N. Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
9'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: L. Popescu
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
10'
Dan Nistor
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
27'
Oucasse Mendy
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
38'
Andrei Coubiș
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
42'
Oucasse Mendy
Universitatea Cluj
🟥
42'
Oucasse Mendy
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
45+1'
Carlos Mora
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
45+1'
Alexandru Chipciu
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
46'
C. Mora ↔ Teles
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
46'
D. Codrea ↔ M. Drammeh
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
46'
D. Nistor ↔ I. Macalou
Universitatea Cluj
⚽
48'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: Teles
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
59'
A. Mekvabishvili
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
62'
J. Stanojev ↔ M. Silva
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
62'
O. Bic ↔ G. B. Simion
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
66'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Nsimba
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
66'
A. Mekvabishvili ↔ T. Baluta
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
70'
D. Matei ↔ L. Basceanu
Universitatea Craiova
⚽
72'
L. Basceanu · Assist: S. Nsimba
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
76'
J. Lukic ↔ A. Trica
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
78'
V. Screciu ↔ V. Mogos
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
87'
Nicușor Bancu
Universitatea Craiova
🟨
89'
Miguel Silva
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
90+1'
Mouhamadou Drammeh
Universitatea Cluj

Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universitatea Craiova Win 57.2%
Draw 3.6%
Universitatea Cluj Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitatea Craiova1.32
Universitatea Cluj1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WWDLW
82 GF / 49 GA
Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj
WLDWL
61 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.53
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
24
BTTS Yes
18
25
Over 2.5
19
4.74
Shots on Goal
3.85

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 50 matches
Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 40 matches
Universitatea Craiova Statistic Universitatea Cluj
28 Wins 22
11 Draws 7
11 Losses 11
82 Goals For 61
49 Goals Against 34
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
24 BTTS Yes 18
36 Over 1.5 25
25 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 11
21 Clean Sheets 16
8 Failed To Score 9
4.74 Shots On Goal 3.85
13.56 Total Shots 11.63
4.42 Corners 4.68
53% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitatea Cluj. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitatea Craiova expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Universitatea Cluj in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitatea Cluj having the stronger overall control.

Universitatea Craiova Analysis

Universitatea Craiova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 60 points after 30 matches. The return of 17 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 53:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through S. Nsimba (10 goals), A. Al Hamlawi (9 goals), S. Baiaram (7 goals), with creative support from A. Mekvabishvili (7 assists), S. Baiaram (6 assists), A. Cicaldau (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Universitatea Cluj Analysis

Universitatea Cluj approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 54 points after 30 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a 48:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on J. Lukic (18 goals), D. Nistor (8 goals), I. Macalou (6 goals), with creative support from I. Macalou (14 assists), D. Nistor (7 assists), O. Mendy (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitatea Craiova won 5 times, Universitatea Cluj won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Universitatea Craiova's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3 / Universitatea Cluj 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universitatea Craiova wins 5, draws 8, Universitatea Cluj wins 2

Standings

Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 12:6 6 50
D W D W W
2 10 6 1 3 13:11 2 46
D L W W L
3 10 4 4 2 8:7 1 43
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 39
L D D W L
5 10 1 3 6 8:14 -6 34
D D L L L
6 10 1 4 5 6:10 -4 32
D D L L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs