30.04.2026 02:00
Estadio Monumental
Referee: C. Benitez
Universitario
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
🟨
18'
C. Fara
Universitario
🟨
21'
L. Rodriguez
Club Nacional
🟨
35'
L. Rodriguez
Club Nacional
🟥
35'
L. Rodriguez
Club Nacional
40'
C. Fara · Assist: J. Concha
Universitario
🟨
43'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
46'
A. Valera
Universitario
🟨
62'
J. Murrugarra
Universitario
🔄
63'
B. Barcia ↔ M. Silvera
Club Nacional
🔄
63'
N. Lodeiro ↔ A. dos Santos
Club Nacional
🔄
66'
J. Murrugarra ↔ J. Castillo
Universitario
🔄
69'
E. Flores ↔ L. Alzugaray
Universitario
71'
M. Silvera
Club Nacional
🟨
75'
L. Mejia
Club Nacional
🔄
80'
M. Perez Guedes ↔ H. Fertoli
Universitario
🔄
80'
A. Valera ↔ J. Rivera
Universitario
81'
L. Alzugaray
Universitario
🟨
82'
L. Alzugaray
Universitario
🔄
83'
N. Rodriguez ↔ E. Ancheta
Club Nacional
🔄
83'
T. Veron ↔ R. Martinez
Club Nacional
🔄
86'
L. Boggio ↔ P. Nunez
Club Nacional
🟨
88'
J. Castillo
Universitario
90'
J. Carabali · Assist: H. Fertoli
Universitario

Universitario vs Club Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitario Win 44.4%
Draw 15.3%
Club Nacional Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario1.38
Club Nacional1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario Universitario
WWDLW
24 GF / 17 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
24 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario Universitario 17 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 matches
Universitario Statistic Club Nacional
8 Wins 7
4 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
24 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 20
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
4.14 Shots On Goal 4.5
14.14 Total Shots 10
6.21 Corners 6.5
53.7% Ball Possession 37%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 1 times, Club Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Universitario's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
Predicted formations: Universitario 3-5-2 / Club Nacional 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Universitario wins 1, draws 1, Club Nacional wins 0

Standings

Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L W W L W
2 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D L W W L
3 6 2 2 2 7:9 -2 8
W D L L W
4 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
D D L W L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals