Universitario de Vinto vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.6%
|
3.02 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
1.53 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.29 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario de Vinto
22 matches
Independiente Petrolero
20 matches
| Universitario de Vinto | Statistic | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 32 | Goals For | 25 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 2.17 |
| 10.06 | Total Shots | 5.94 |
| 3.39 | Corners | 1.94 |
| 34% | Ball Possession | 25.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario de Vinto expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Independiente Petrolero in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente Petrolero. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Universitario de Vinto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Independiente Petrolero carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 25 points while Universitario de Vinto sit 16 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Universitario de Vinto sit 16 with 14 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 22:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Torrico (1 goals), J. Calicho (1 goals), A. Jara (1 goals), with creative support from J. Torrico (2 assists), Hugo Dorrego (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Independiente Petrolero have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 25 points from 17 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 25:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Willie (5 goals), Roberto Villavicencio (1 goals), Jonathan Cristaldo (1 goals), with creative support from Roberto Villavicencio (2 assists), Jonathan Cristaldo (1 assists), Rudy Cardozo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Vinto won 6 times, Independiente Petrolero won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from Universitario de Vinto's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 34 | 45 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 32 | 45 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 17 | 42 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 32 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 2 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | -18 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 20 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 18 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:39 | -24 | 16 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 14 |
L
L
L
D
D
|