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26.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 45.9%
Draw 11.2%
Everton de Vina Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.49
Everton de Vina1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
56 GF / 32 GA
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WLDWL
51 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.59
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
15
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
18
5.46
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 34 matches
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 32 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Everton de Vina
18 Wins 13
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 10
56 Goals For 51
32 Goals Against 40
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
15 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 24
17 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 12
14 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
5.46 Shots On Goal 5
15.08 Total Shots 13
6.25 Corners 5.13
58.3% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad de Chile expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Everton de Vina in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Everton de Vina having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Everton de Vina. Everton de Vina look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 45 points after 24 outings. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 41:19, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Vargas (8 goals), A. Arce (5 goals), M. Guerrero (3 goals), with creative support from M. Morales (4 assists), Lucas Assadi (4 assists), M. Guerrero (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 39 points after 24 outings. With 11 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:27, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Medina (10 goals), N. Montiel (6 goals), J. Alfaro (4 goals), with creative support from B. Martínez (3 assists), F. Villagrán (3 assists), A. Medina (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 4 times, Everton de Vina won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 4-2-3-1 / Everton de Vina 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 4, draws 5, Everton de Vina wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 24 13 6 5 41:19 22 45
W W W L L
3 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L W L
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 24 8 8 8 28:37 -9 32
L L L L L
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W D L L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D